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Even After Rising 7.1% This Past Week, China High-Speed Railway Technology (SZSE:000008) Shareholders Are Still Down 41% Over the Past Five Years

Even After Rising 7.1% This Past Week, China High-Speed Railway Technology (SZSE:000008) Shareholders Are Still Down 41% Over the Past Five Years

儘管上週內增長了7.1%,但中國高速鐵路技術(深交所:000008)的股東在過去五年中仍然虧損了41%。
Simply Wall St ·  09/10 19:37

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term China High-Speed Railway Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000008) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 41% over a half decade. But it's up 7.1% in the last week.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是值得的,努力超越市場指數基金的回報是值得的。但主要目標是找到足夠多的贏家來彌補輸家的損失,所以我們不會責怪長期中國高鐵技術股份有限公司(SZSE:000008)的股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,因爲在過去五年中,股價下跌了41%。但在過去一週中,股價上漲了7.1%。

While the last five years has been tough for China High-Speed Railway Technology shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

雖然過去五年對中國高鐵技術的股東來說很艱難,但過去的一週顯示出了一些希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期的基本面情況,看看它們是否成爲負回報的原因。

Given that China High-Speed Railway Technology didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

鑑於中國高鐵技術在過去十二個月內沒有盈利,我們將重點關注營業收入增長,以快速了解其業務發展情況。不盈利公司的股東通常希望實現強勁的營業收入增長。這是因爲如果營業收入增長微不足道,而且從未盈利,很難對公司的可持續性感到有信心。

In the last five years China High-Speed Railway Technology saw its revenue shrink by 6.5% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. The stock hasn't done well for shareholders in the last five years, falling 7%, annualized. Unfortunately, though, it makes sense given the lack of either profits or revenue growth. Without profits, its hard to see how shareholders win if the revenue keeps falling.

在過去五年中,中國高鐵技術的營業收入每年下降了6.5%。這不是投資者希望看到的情況。股票在過去五年中表現不佳,年化下跌了7%。不幸的是,這是有道理的,因爲既沒有利潤也沒有營業收入增長。如果營業收入繼續下降,很難看到股東如何獲勝。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

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SZSE:000008 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 10th 2024
SZSE:000008的盈利和營業收入增長截至2024年9月10日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是,儘管CEO的報酬總是值得檢查的,真正重要的問題是公司未來是否能增長收入。在買賣股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細檢查,在這裏可以找到。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Although it hurts that China High-Speed Railway Technology returned a loss of 15% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 20%. Given the total loss of 7% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with China High-Speed Railway Technology , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管中國高鐵技術公司在過去十二個月中虧損了15%,但整個市場虧損了20%。在過去五年中,年均虧損7%,似乎在過去十二個月中回報率已經惡化。儘管一些投資者擅長購買那些處境艱難但被低估的公司,但不要忘記巴菲特說過的:「轉機往往很少轉變」。我發現長期來看股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,投資風險時刻存在。我們已經發現了中國高鐵技術公司的1個警示信號,了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

Of course China High-Speed Railway Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,中國高鐵技術可能不是最好的股票可供購買。您可能希望查看這個免費的增長股票收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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