Ningbo Color Master Batch's (SZSE:301019) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Ningbo Color Master Batch's (SZSE:301019) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Ningbo Color Master Batch Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301019) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.
寧波色母粒有限公司's(深圳證券交易所代碼:301019)健康的利潤數字並沒有讓投資者感到意外。我們認爲這是由於投資者將目光投向了法定利潤之外並關注他們所看到的情況。
A Closer Look At Ningbo Color Master Batch's Earnings
仔細看看寧波色母批的收益
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超過了其利潤所暗示的水平。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減少。
For the year to June 2024, Ningbo Color Master Batch had an accrual ratio of 0.21. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥23m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥104.1m. Ningbo Color Master Batch's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits. The good news for shareholders is that Ningbo Color Master Batch's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
在截至2024年6月的一年中,寧波色母批的應計率爲0.21。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲2300萬元人民幣,遠低於其10410萬元人民幣的法定利潤。Ningbo Color Master Batch的自由現金流實際上在去年有所下降,但明年可能會反彈,因爲自由現金流通常比會計利潤更具波動性。對股東來說,好消息是,寧波色母批去年的應計比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕數據可能只是利潤與FCF之間短期不匹配的情況。如果確實如此,股東應尋求在本年度的現金流相對於利潤的改善。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ningbo Color Master Batch.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對寧波色母批的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Ningbo Color Master Batch's Profit Performance
我們對寧波色母批次利潤表現的看法
Ningbo Color Master Batch didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ningbo Color Master Batch's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 29% EPS growth in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Ningbo Color Master Batch at this point in time. Be aware that Ningbo Color Master Batch is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...
去年,寧波Color Master Batch沒有將其大部分利潤轉換爲自由現金流,一些投資者可能認爲這種情況相當不理想。因此,我們認爲可能是寧波色母批的法定利潤要好於其基礎盈利能力。但是,至少持有人可以從去年29%的每股收益增長中得到一些安慰。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮寧波色母批當前面臨的風險同樣重要。請注意,Ningbo Color Master Batch在我們的投資分析中顯示了3個警告信號,其中2個有點令人不快...
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Ningbo Color Master Batch's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地了解寧波色母批次利潤的性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。