Investors in Avic Aviation High-Technology (SHSE:600862) Have Seen Respectable Returns of 82% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Avic Aviation High-Technology (SHSE:600862) Have Seen Respectable Returns of 82% Over the Past Five Years
Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. To wit, the Avic Aviation High-Technology share price has climbed 76% in five years, easily topping the market decline of 9.4% (ignoring dividends).
股票選擇者一般尋找表現超過整個市場的股票。而雖然主動選股存在風險(需分散投資),但也可以提供超額回報。中航高科股票價格在五年內上漲了76%,遠超過市場下跌的9.4%(不考慮分紅派息)。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
現在值得更詳細地了解該公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話:在短期內,市場是投票機,但在長期內,市場是稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格的時間變化,我們可以感受到投資者對公司的態度隨時間而變化。
During five years of share price growth, Avic Aviation High-Technology achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 20% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 12% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.
在五年的股價增長期間,中航高科每股收益(EPS)年均增長20%。該EPS增長率高於股價年均增長率12%。因此,市場對該公司的態度似乎相對悲觀。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Avic Aviation High-Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
我們很高興地報告說,與類似資本公司的大多數CEO相比,CEO的報酬相對較爲適度。關注CEO的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是公司是否能夠在未來多年實現盈利增長。通過查看中航高科的收益、營業收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解盈利情況。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Avic Aviation High-Technology the TSR over the last 5 years was 82%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何分紅都是再投資的)以及任何折現的資本增資和拆分的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR通常要比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,中航高科在過去5年的TSR爲82%,比上述股價回報要好。公司支付的股息因此提振了股東的總回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market lost about 20% in the twelve months, Avic Aviation High-Technology shareholders did even worse, losing 24% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 13% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Avic Aviation High-Technology you should know about.
儘管更廣泛的市場在過去12個月中損失了約20%,中航高科的股東甚至損失了24%(甚至包括股息)。然而,股價的下跌可能僅僅是受到更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。也許值得密切關注公司的基本面,以防出現好的機會。從積極的一面來看,長期股東已經賺錢,半個十年內年均收益率爲13%。如果基本數據繼續表明長期可持續增長,當前的拋售可能是值得考慮的機會。雖然考慮市場條件可能對股價產生的不同影響是非常值得的,但更重要的是還有其他因素需要考慮。考慮風險,例如。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現了中航高科的1個預警標誌,您應該了解。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。