Daphne International Holdings' (HKG:210) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest
Daphne International Holdings' (HKG:210) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Daphne International Holdings Limited's (HKG:210) stock has recently. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.
當公司發佈強勁的業績時,股票通常表現良好,就像達芙妮國際控股有限公司(HKG:210)的股票最近表現出色。我們進行了一些分析,並發現了一些正面因素,超過了利潤數字.
A Closer Look At Daphne International Holdings' Earnings
對達芙妮國際控股公司盈利的近距離觀察
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
很多投資者沒有聽說過現金流量的應計比率,但它實際上是一個衡量公司利潤在一個給定期間內由自由現金流(FCF)支持的有用指標。爲了獲得應計比率,首先我們需要從一個期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。該比率顯示公司利潤超過FCF的多少。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,負的應計比率對公司是有利的,而正的應計比率則有害。雖然應計比率高於零不是什麼大問題,但當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,我們認爲值得注意。因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤較低或利潤增長較少。
For the year to June 2024, Daphne International Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥117m, well over the CN¥83.5m it reported in profit. Daphne International Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not the end of the story. We must also consider the impact of unusual items on statutory profit (and thus the accrual ratio), as well as note the ramifications of the company issuing new shares.
截至2024年6月,達芙妮國際控股的應計比率爲-0.11。因此,其法定利潤要比自由現金流少得多。事實上,在過去的12個月裏,它報告的自由現金流爲1,1700萬人民幣,遠遠超過了8350萬元的利潤。達芙妮國際控股的股東無疑對過去12個月的自由現金流改善感到滿意。然而,這還不是故事的結局。我們還必須考慮非常規項目對法定利潤(因此是應計比率)的影響,以及公司發行新股的影響。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Daphne International Holdings.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對達芙妮國際控股的資產負債表分析。
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Daphne International Holdings issued 9.1% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Daphne International Holdings' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
了解公司盈利增長的價值,必須考慮股東權益的稀釋。事實上,達芙妮國際控股在過去一年中發行了更多的新股,比去年多了9.1%。這意味着其盈利分配給更多的股份。如果只關注淨利潤而忽略稀釋,就像因爲有了一小塊更大的披薩而歡慶一樣,忽略了披薩現在切成了更多的片。點擊這個鏈接查看達芙妮國際控股的歷史每股收益增長。
How Is Dilution Impacting Daphne International Holdings' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
稀釋對達芙妮國際控股每股收益(EPS)的影響是如何的?
Three years ago, Daphne International Holdings lost money. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 76%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 65% over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
三年前,達芙妮國際控股虧損。好消息是,在過去的12個月裏,其利潤增長了76%。然而,同期每股收益僅增長了65%。因此,可以清楚地看到,稀釋正在影響股東的收益。
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Daphne International Holdings shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
從長遠來看,股價的變動確實反映了每股收益的變動。因此,達芙妮國際控股的股東希望看到每股收益持續增長。然而,如果其利潤增加而每股收益保持不變(甚至下降),那麼股東可能不會獲得太多利益。對於普通零售股東來說,每股收益是一個很好的指標,可以檢查您在公司利潤中所佔的「份額」。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
Daphne International Holdings' profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥9.7m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Daphne International Holdings to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
在過去的12個月中,達芙妮國際控股的利潤因價值970萬人民幣的非一般項目而減少,這幫助其產生了較高的現金轉換率,正如其一般項目所反映的那樣。在這種情況下,假設這些非一般項目包括非現金費用,我們將會看到較高的應計比率,這正是本例中所發生的。看過成千上萬上市公司的情況後,我們發現非一般項目往往是一次性的。這並不奇怪,因爲這些項目被認爲是非一般性的。假設這些非一般開支不再出現,我們因此預計達芙妮國際控股會在明年產生更高的利潤,其他條件不變。
Our Take On Daphne International Holdings' Profit Performance
關於達芙妮國際控股的盈利表現,我們的看法
In conclusion, both Daphne International Holdings' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative, but the dilution means that per-share performance is weaker than the statutory profit numbers imply. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that Daphne International Holdings' underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Daphne International Holdings.
總之,達芙妮國際控股的應計比率和其不尋常的項目表明,其法定收益可能相對保守,但稀釋意味着每股績效弱於法定利潤數字所暗示的。綜合考慮所有這些因素,我們認爲達芙妮國際控股的基礎盈利能力至少和法定數字所表現的一樣好。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,我們發現了3個預警信號,您應該仔細研究以更全面地了解達芙妮國際控股。
Our examination of Daphne International Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我們對達芙妮國際控股的審查着重關注了使其盈利看起來比實際更好的某些因素。事實證明,它通過了考驗。但還有很多其他方法來了解公司。例如,許多人認爲股權回報率高是有利的商業經濟的指標,而其他人則喜歡『追蹤資金』,尋找內部人員在購買的股票。雖然這可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費的公司收藏中那些自豪地擁有高股權回報率的公司,或者這份擁有重大內部持股的股票清單會有所幫助。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。