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Here's Why Haohua Chemical Science & Technology (SHSE:600378) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why Haohua Chemical Science & Technology (SHSE:600378) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

這就是爲什麼昊華化學科技(SHSE:600378)承擔着重大債務負擔
Simply Wall St ·  09/12 23:27

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd. (SHSE:600378) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到,昊華化學科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 600378)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's Net Debt?

皓華化工科技的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Haohua Chemical Science & Technology had CN¥2.82b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.22b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥1.76b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.06b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年6月,皓華化工科技在一年內有28.2元人民幣的債務,比22.2元人民幣有所增加。但是,它也有17.6元人民幣的現金,因此其淨負債爲10.6元人民幣。

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SHSE:600378 Debt to Equity History September 13th 2024
SHSE: 600378 2024 年 9 月 13 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's Balance Sheet?

皓華化學科技的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Haohua Chemical Science & Technology had liabilities of CN¥3.85b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.16b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.76b and CN¥3.66b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.60b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,昊華化學科技的負債爲38.5元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲31.6元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲17.6元人民幣和價值36.6元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出16元人民幣。

Given Haohua Chemical Science & Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥27.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

鑑於皓華化學科技的市值爲276元人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Haohua Chemical Science & Technology has net debt of just 0.87 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. In fact Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 25% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Haohua Chemical Science & Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

皓華化學科技的淨負債僅爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的0.87倍,這表明它可以在不費吹灰之力的情況下提高槓杆率。但真正酷的是,在過去的一年中,它實際上設法獲得的利息超過了支付的利息。因此,可以公平地說,它可以像炙手可熱的鐵板燒廚師處理烹飪一樣處理債務。實際上,皓華化學科技的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了25%。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定皓華化學科技能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Haohua Chemical Science & Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。因此,值得檢查一下該息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的三年中,皓華化學科技總共出現了可觀的負自由現金流。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Haohua Chemical Science & Technology is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Haohua Chemical Science & Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

在我們看來,昊華化學科技的息稅前利潤增長率以及將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流無疑對其造成了壓力。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆地用息稅前利潤支付利息支出。當我們考慮所討論的所有因素時,在我們看來,皓華化工科技在使用債務方面正在冒一些風險。儘管這筆債務可以提高回報,但我們認爲該公司現在有足夠的槓桿作用。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,昊華化學科技在我們的投資分析中顯示出兩個警告信號,你應該知道...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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