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Is Gogoro (NASDAQ:GGR) A Risky Investment?

Is Gogoro (NASDAQ:GGR) A Risky Investment?

Gogoro(納斯達克:GGR)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/17 20:52

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Gogoro Inc. (NASDAQ:GGR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯在談到股價波動時說得很好:「我擔心的不是股價波動,而是永久性損失的可能性…我了解的每個實際投資者都在擔心這個。」 當我們考慮一個公司的風險性時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。 我們注意到Gogoro Inc.(納斯達克:GGR)在資產負債表上確實有債務。 但真正的問題是這些債務是否使公司變得有風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

對於一家企業來說,債務和其他負債在無法輕鬆履行這些義務時會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資金。 資本主義的一個重要方面是「創造性毀滅」的過程,失敗的企業被它們的銀行無情清算。 不過,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是公司必須以低價發行股票,永久性稀釋股東權益,以加固其資產負債表。 然而,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。 在考慮一家公司的債務水平時的第一步是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Gogoro Carry?

Gogoro承載了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Gogoro had US$392.0m of debt, up from US$366.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$196.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$195.1m.

如下圖所示,截至2024年6月底,Gogoro的債務爲39200萬美元,較一年前的36690萬美元增加。 點擊圖像以獲取更多詳細信息。 但是,它有19690萬美元的現金抵消這一債務,導致淨債務約爲19510萬美元。

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NasdaqGS:GGR Debt to Equity History September 17th 2024
NasdaqGS:GGR 的股債比歷史數據於2024年9月17日

How Strong Is Gogoro's Balance Sheet?

Gogoro的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Gogoro had liabilities of US$200.8m due within a year, and liabilities of US$365.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$196.9m in cash and US$20.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$349.3m.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Gogoro在一年內到期的負債爲2.008億美元,而到期後的負債爲3.659億美元。 抵消這一點的是,它有1.969億美元的現金和2.05億美元的應收款項,這些款項在12個月內到期。 所以它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收款項的總和高出3.493億美元。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$276.8m, we think shareholders really should watch Gogoro's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Gogoro's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

考慮到這一赤字實際上高於公司2.768億美元的市值,我們認爲股東們確實應該像看着孩子第一次騎自行車一樣關注Gogoro的債務水平。在公司必須迅速清理資產負債表的情況下,股東們很可能遭受嚴重的攤薄。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時要關注的領域,但更重要的是未來的盈利,這將決定Gogoro未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你專注於未來,可以查看這份免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。

In the last year Gogoro had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 8.3%, to US$334m. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去一年,Gogoro利息和稅前虧損,並實際上將其營業收入縮減了8.3%,至3.34億美元。這不是我們希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

Over the last twelve months Gogoro produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$93m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$43m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Gogoro is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

在過去的12個月中,Gogoro的利息和稅前虧損。的確,它在EBIT水平上損失了非常可觀的9,300萬美元。考慮到上述的負債,這讓我們對公司感到緊張。它需要迅速改善經營狀況,才能引起我們的興趣。這還不只是因爲它在過去12個月裏有4,300萬美元的負自由現金流。這意味着它處於風險較高的狀態。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。要知道Gogoro在我們的投資分析中顯示了2個警示信號,你應該了解一下……

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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