We Think Pentair (NYSE:PNR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Pentair (NYSE:PNR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Pentair plc (NYSE:PNR) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
傳奇基金經理李錄(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾經說過,「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動性,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」所以,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,考慮債務是很明顯的,因爲過多的債務可能會使一家公司破產。我們可以看到濱特爾股份有限公司(NYSE:PNR)在業務中確實使用了債務。但真正的問題是這些債務是否使公司具有風險。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務對於企業來說是一個我行我素之機,直到企業遇到用新的資本或自由現金流支付債務的困擾。資本主義的核心是無情地通過銀行家們對失敗的企業進行「創造性破壞」,將其清算。然而,更爲頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以低價發行股票,永久稀釋股東權益,以恢復其資產負債表的穩定。然而,通過取代股權稀釋,債務可以成爲那些需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一種極爲有效的工具。當我們考慮一家公司對債務的使用時,我們首先關注現金和債務的總量。
What Is Pentair's Net Debt?
濱特爾的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Pentair had debt of US$1.76b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$2.11b over a year. On the flip side, it has US$214.3m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.54b.
下面的圖片(可以點擊以放大)顯示,濱特爾在2024年6月底的債務爲1.76億美元,比去年的21.1億美元減少了。另一方面,它有2,143萬美元的現金,淨債務約爲1.54億美元。
How Strong Is Pentair's Balance Sheet?
濱特爾的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Pentair had liabilities of US$950.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.16b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$214.3m and US$629.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.27b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
從最新的資產負債表可以看出,濱特爾有95040萬美元的短期到期負債,以及216億美元的長期到期負債。另一方面,濱特爾有21430萬美元的現金和62970萬美元的短期應收款項。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項多227億美元。
Given Pentair has a humongous market capitalization of US$15.1b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
考慮到濱特爾擁有龐大的市值151億美元,很難相信這些負債會帶來太大威脅。但是有足夠多的負債,我們當然建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的情況。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。
Pentair's net debt of 1.6 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.8 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. The good news is that Pentair has increased its EBIT by 5.8% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pentair can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
濱特爾的淨債務爲EBITDA的1.6倍,表明其合理運用了債務。而誘人的利息覆蓋率(EBIT的7.8倍利息支出)確實沒有消除這種印象。好消息是,濱特爾的EBIT在過去12個月增長了5.8%,這應該消除了關於償還債務的擔憂。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個明顯的起點。但最終企業的未來盈利能力將決定濱特爾是否能夠加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師利潤預測的這份免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Pentair recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我們最後要考慮的也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用虛擬利潤來償還債務,它需要真金白銀。因此,我們明確需要看一下這個EBIT是否帶來相應的自由現金流。在最近的三年中,濱特爾記錄的自由現金流佔EBIT的比例爲62%,這在正常範圍之內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅金。這筆自由現金流使公司有能力在適當的時候償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
We feel that Pentair's solid conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was really heart warming, like a mid-winter fair trade hot chocolate in a tasteful alpine chalet. And its interest cover should also leave shareholders feeling frolicsome. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Pentair can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Pentair has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
我們認爲濱特爾將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力非常可靠,就像在一個富有品味的高山木屋裏品嚐到一杯公平貿易的熱巧克力一樣讓人感到溫暖。同時,它的利息覆蓋率也應該讓股東們感到開心。綜合考慮所有上述因素,我們認爲濱特爾可以相當輕鬆地處理其債務。在積極方面,這種槓桿可以提高股東回報,但潛在的風險是更高的損失風險,因此值得監測資產負債表。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的起點。然而,並不是所有投資風險都來自資產負債表-遠非如此。例如-濱特爾有1個警示信號,我們認爲您應該注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。