Here's Why Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:603858) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Here's Why Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:603858) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603858) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄,在說到「最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是資本是否會遭受永久性損失」時毫不隱瞞。當您檢查一個公司風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲當一個企業破產時通常會涉及債務。和許多其他公司一樣,步長製藥使用了債務。但這些債務是否會擔憂股東?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲一個真正的問題,無論是通過增加資本還是利用自身的現金流。 如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管業務。 然而,更常見的(但仍然代價高昂)情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價 dilute 股東,以便簡單地控制債務。 當然,有很多公司使用債務來支持增長,而沒有任何負面後果。 當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先查看現金和債務。
What Is Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals's Net Debt?
山東步長製藥的淨債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals had CN¥3.80b of debt, an increase on CN¥3.21b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.61b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.19b.
您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但截至2024年6月,山東步長製藥的債務爲38億人民幣,較一年前的32.1億人民幣增加。另一方面,它有16.1億人民幣現金,導致約21.9億人民幣的淨債務。
A Look At Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals' Liabilities
看看步長製藥的負債
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals had liabilities of CN¥6.34b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.39b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.61b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.44b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.67b.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,步長製藥有630億人民幣的負債在12個月內到期,以及339億人民幣的負債超過該時期。 抵消這些義務,其現金爲161億人民幣,應收賬款爲144億人民幣,在12個月內到期。 因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和677億人民幣。
This deficit isn't so bad because Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals is worth CN¥15.9b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
這個赤字並不太糟糕,因爲步長製藥的市值爲159億人民幣,因此如果有需要,可能可以籌集足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。 但是,仍然值得密切關注其償還債務的能力。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。
Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals has net debt worth 2.3 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 5.4 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Shareholders should be aware that Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals's EBIT was down 63% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
步長製藥的淨債務相當於EBITDA的2.3倍,並不算太多,但其利息保障看起來有點偏低,EBIt僅爲利息支出的5.4倍。 雖然這並沒有讓我們太擔憂,但確實暗示着利息支付在某種程度上是一種負擔。 股東應該知道,步長製藥去年的EBIt減少了63%。 如果這種下降繼續,那麼償還債務將比在純素食者大會上銷售鵝肝更爲困難。 毫無疑問,我們對債務的了解大部分來自資產負債表。 但是,在未來,步長製藥的收入將影響資產負債表的表現。 因此,如果您渴望了解更多關於其收入的信息,可能值得查看其長期收入趨勢的圖表。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,雖然稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但放貸人只接受冰冷的現金。 因此,值得檢查EBIt有多少是由自由現金流支持的。 在過去三年中,步長製藥生產的穩健自由現金流相當於其EBIt的64%,大約符合我們的預期。 這筆冰冷的現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't too shabby at all. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals you should be aware of.
步長製藥的EBIt增長率在這次分析中確實是一個真正的負面因素,儘管我們考慮的其他因素使其看起來更有優勢。但從好的一面來看,它將EBIt轉換爲自由現金流的能力卻一點也不差。當我們考慮所有討論過的因素時,我們覺得步長製藥正在使用債務時存在一些風險。因此,儘管這種槓桿確實提高了股東權益回報率,但我們實際上並不希望看到它從這裏增加。資產負債表顯然是在分析債務時要重點關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。舉一個例子:我們已經發現了步長製藥存在2個警示信號,你應該注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。
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