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Is Shandong Sinocera Functional Material (SZSE:300285) A Risky Investment?

Is Shandong Sinocera Functional Material (SZSE:300285) A Risky Investment?

國瓷材料(SZSE:300285)是否是一個有風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  09/17 19:39

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shandong Sinocera Functional Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300285) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 「永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。」當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,山東中瓷功能材料有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300285)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Shandong Sinocera Functional Material's Debt?

山東國瓷功能材料的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Shandong Sinocera Functional Material had debt of CN¥605.1m, up from CN¥399.3m in one year. However, it also had CN¥543.5m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥61.6m.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年6月,山東中瓷功能材料的債務爲60510萬元人民幣,高於一年的39930萬元人民幣。但是,它也有54350萬元的現金,因此其淨負債爲6160萬元人民幣。

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SZSE:300285 Debt to Equity History September 17th 2024
SZSE: 300285 2024 年 9 月 17 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Shandong Sinocera Functional Material's Liabilities

看山東國瓷功能材料的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong Sinocera Functional Material had liabilities of CN¥1.40b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥554.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥543.5m and CN¥2.32b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥905.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,山東華瓷功能材料在12個月內到期的負債爲14元人民幣,在此之後到期的負債爲55430萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲54350萬元人民幣和價值23.2元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多出90520萬元人民幣。

This surplus suggests that Shandong Sinocera Functional Material has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. But either way, Shandong Sinocera Functional Material has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明,山東中瓷功能材料的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。但不管怎樣,山東華瓷功能材料幾乎沒有淨負債,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Shandong Sinocera Functional Material has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.064 and EBIT of 98.9 times the interest expense. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Shandong Sinocera Functional Material has boosted its EBIT by 48%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shandong Sinocera Functional Material can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

山東中瓷功能材料的債務(扣除現金)很少,債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲0.064,息稅前利潤是利息支出的98.9倍。事實上,相對於其收益,其債務負擔似乎輕如鴻毛。除此之外,我們很高興地向大家報告,山東中瓷功能材料已將其息稅前利潤提高了48%,從而減少了對未來債務償還的擔憂。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定山東中瓷功能材料能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Shandong Sinocera Functional Material actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要研究該息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。考慮到過去三年,山東華瓷功能材料實際上總體上出現了現金流出。債務通常更昂貴,而且對於自由現金流爲負的公司來說,風險幾乎總是更大。股東們應該希望有所改善。

Our View

我們的觀點

Shandong Sinocera Functional Material's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Zooming out, Shandong Sinocera Functional Material seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Shandong Sinocera Functional Material, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

山東中瓷功能材料的利息保障表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多在對陣14歲以下的守門員的比賽中進球一樣輕鬆地處理債務。但是我們必須承認,我們發現其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流會產生相反的效果。放眼望去,山東中瓷功能材料似乎相當合理地使用債務;這得到了我們的點頭。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提高股本回報率。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此,如果你對山東中瓷功能材料感興趣,你很可能想點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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