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Economists Optimistic About NODX Rebound Despite August Contraction

Economists Optimistic About NODX Rebound Despite August Contraction

儘管在8月份出現萎縮,經濟學家對國內出口再次出現回升持樂觀態度
Singapore Business Review ·  09/18 00:00

NODX fell 4.7% MoM in August.

8月份NODX環比下降了4.7%。

Economists remain optimistic about the rebound of non-oil domestic exports (NODX) despite sequential contraction in August.

儘管8月份連續下降,但經濟學家對非石油國內出口(NODX)的反彈仍然持樂觀態度。

In August, NODX fell by 4.7% month-on-month (MoM) and posted slower year-on-year growth of 10.7%.

8月份,NODX環比下降了4.7%,同比增長放緩至10.7%。

RHB stated it is not concerned about the MoM decline for three reasons: strong electronics exports, a recovery in pharmaceutical exports, and ongoing global growth.

RHb表示,對於環比下降並不擔心,有三個原因:電子產品出口強勁,藥品出口恢復,全球經濟持續增長。

UOB is also upbeat about NODX's recovery, anticipating a meaningful sequential rebound in Q4 2024.

UOb對於NODX的復甦也持樂觀態度,預計2024年第四季度將出現實質性反彈。

It has also nudged its full-year 2024 NODX growth forecast slightly higher, from 2.5% to 3.0%.

它還將2024年全年NODX增長預測略微上調,從2.5%提高至3.0%。

Nomura reported that NODX growth averaged 13.3% year-on-year in July-August, a sharp rise from -6.5% in Q2, supported by a significant improvement in electronics exports.

野村證券報告稱,7月至8月NODX同比增長平均爲13.3%,大幅上升,而第二季度爲-6.5%,得益於電子產品出口的顯著改善。

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