Investors in AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) Have Seen Strong Returns of 225% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) Have Seen Strong Returns of 225% Over the Past Five Years
When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. One great example is AbbVie Inc. (NYSE:ABBV) which saw its share price drive 161% higher over five years. It's also good to see the share price up 13% over the last quarter.
當您購買股票時,總有可能跌幅100%。但好的一面是,如果您以合理的價格購買高質量公司的股票,您的收益可能遠遠超過100%。一個很好的例子是AbbVie公司(紐交所:ABBV),其股價在五年內上漲了161%。很高興看到股價在過去一個季度上漲了13%。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,讓我們評估過去5年的基本面,看看它們是否和股東的回報率相符。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然一些人仍然相信有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。一個不完美但簡單的方法來考慮公司市場看法的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
During five years of share price growth, AbbVie achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 1.8% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 21% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 64.33.
在股價增長的五年裏,AbbVie公司的每股收益複合增長率爲1.8%。這個每股收益增長率低於股價的平均年增長率21%。所以可以認爲市場對該企業的評價高於五年前。考慮到其不斷增長的歷史記錄,這並不令人驚訝。這種樂觀情緒體現在其相對較高的市盈率64.33上。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間的變化情況(如果您單擊該圖像,則可以查看更多詳細信息)。
Dive deeper into AbbVie's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of AbbVie's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通過查看這個艾伯維公司的盈利、營業收入和現金流的互動圖表,更深入地了解艾伯維公司的關鍵指標。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for AbbVie the TSR over the last 5 years was 225%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率 (TSR)。TSR是一種考慮到現金分紅價值 (假設任何收到的股息都已再投資)、和計算得出的任何折價的資本增加和分拆價值的回報計算方法。可以說,TSR可以給出股票產生的回報的更全面的圖片。我們注意到,艾伯維公司過去5年的TSR爲225%,比上述股價回報更好。而且毫無疑問,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
AbbVie shareholders have received returns of 31% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 27%. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 5 warning signs we've spotted with AbbVie .
艾伯維公司股東在過去12個月裏獲得了31%的回報(包括股息),與一般市場回報相差不遠。多數人會爲此獲利而高興,且事實證明,今年的回報實際上比過去5年的平均回報(27%)更好。即使股價增長從此減緩,這仍然是一家值得長期關注的企業。儘管考慮到市場狀況可能對股價產生的影響是非常重要的,但還有其他更爲重要的因素。爲此,您應該關注我們發現的艾伯維公司的5個警示信號。
We will like AbbVie better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大規模內部交易,我們會更喜歡艾伯維公司。在等待期間,您可以查看這個免費的低估股票列表(主要是小市值股票),其中有相當多的近期內部交易。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。