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We Think Changzhou Fusion New Material (SHSE:688503) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Changzhou Fusion New Material (SHSE:688503) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲投資長州融創新材料(SHSE:688503)可以繼續保持負債的頂端位置
Simply Wall St ·  09/19 18:41

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Changzhou Fusion New Material Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688503) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

當David Iben說'波動性不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免資本永久損失'時,他表達得很好。在考察一個公司的風險性時,考慮到債務通常與企業倒閉有關,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的。我們可以看到Changzhou Fusion New Material Co., Ltd.(SHSE:688503) 在業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否使公司風險增加。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業出現資本短缺或自由現金流問題時,債務可以爲其提供幫助。作爲資本主義的一部分,「創造性破壞」的過程往往是銀行家無情地清理失去生機的企業,然而,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,公司需要以較低的價格籌集新的股本資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的優點在於它通常代表着廉價資本,尤其是當它替代在公司具有高回報率的能力時的稀釋時。在我們評估債務水平時,首先要考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Changzhou Fusion New Material's Net Debt?

什麼是Changzhou Fusion New Material的淨負債?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Changzhou Fusion New Material had CN¥3.16b of debt, up from CN¥992.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.27b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥892.4m.

從下面可以看到,在2024年6月底,Changzhou Fusion New Material有31.6億人民幣的債務,比一年前的9,9220萬人民幣增長了。點擊圖像以了解更多細節。然而,由於其現金儲備有22.7億人民幣,淨負債較少,約爲8,9240萬人民幣。

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SHSE:688503 Debt to Equity History September 19th 2024
SHSE:688503債務股本比歷史數據2024年9月19日

How Strong Is Changzhou Fusion New Material's Balance Sheet?

常州融晶新材料的資產負債表有多堅實?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Changzhou Fusion New Material had liabilities of CN¥3.94b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥22.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.27b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.96b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥2.27b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,常州融晶新材料有CN¥39.4億的短期負債,並且有CN¥2270萬的到期日在之後的負債。抵消這些義務,它有CN¥22.7億的現金和價值爲CN¥39.6億的應收賬款,到期日在12個月內。因此,它比總負債多CN¥22.7億的流動資產。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Changzhou Fusion New Material's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity.

這種超額流動性說明了常州融晶新材料的資產負債表幾乎與福特諾克斯一樣強大。考慮到這一點,人們可以推斷出它的資產負債表意味着該公司能夠應對一些逆境。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。

Changzhou Fusion New Material has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.2. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Changzhou Fusion New Material has boosted its EBIT by 69%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Changzhou Fusion New Material can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

常州融晶新材料的債務到息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率僅爲1.2。但真正酷的是,在過去一年裏,它實際上比支付的利息多收到了利息。因此毫無疑問,這家公司能夠承擔債務,同時保持冷靜。此外,我們很高興地報告,常州融晶新材料通過增加EBIT將其利潤提高了69%,從而減少了未來債務償還的威脅。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定常州融晶新材料能否隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Changzhou Fusion New Material saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤不足以支付債務。因此,值得檢查那些EBIT背後支持的自由現金流量。在過去三年中,常州融晶新材料的自由現金流總體上爲負數。儘管投資者無疑期望情況會發生逆轉,但這顯然意味着它的債務使用更加風險。

Our View

我們的觀點

Changzhou Fusion New Material's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Zooming out, Changzhou Fusion New Material seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Changzhou Fusion New Material you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

Changzhou Fusion New Material的利息覆蓋率表明它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多輕鬆地進球對抗14歲以下的守門員一樣處理其債務。 但事實是,我們對其將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的表現感到擔憂。 放大來看,常州佳合新材料似乎相當合理地使用債務;這得到了我們的認可。 雖然債務會帶來風險,但聰明地使用時也能帶來更高的股東權益回報。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。 然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內 - 求之不得。 舉個例子:我們發現了常州佳合新材料的3個預警信號,您應該注意,其中有1個讓我們有些不安。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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