Is Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech (SHSE:600343) A Risky Investment?
Is Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech (SHSE:600343) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600343) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格背書的外部基金經理李錄直言不諱地表示:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」 當我們考慮一個公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致災難。 我們可以看到,航天動力(上海)新能源股份有限公司(SHSE:600343)確實在業務中使用債務。 但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險呢?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一個企業無力償還其債權人的債務,那麼它存在於債權人的控制之下。 最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有。 然而,一個更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,公司必須以低價籌集新的股本資金,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。 當然,債務可以是企業中重要的工具,特別是資本密集型企業。 在我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平兩者結合在一起。
What Is Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech's Net Debt?
陝西航天動力科技的淨債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech had CN¥404.0m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥148.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥255.4m.
以下圖表顯示,在2024年6月,航天動力(上海)新能源股份有限公司的債務爲40800萬元人民幣,與前一年大致相同。 但是,由於公司擁有14860萬元人民幣的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,大約爲25540萬元人民幣。
How Strong Is Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech's Balance Sheet?
航天動力的資產負債表有多強?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech had liabilities of CN¥1.15b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥247.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥148.6m in cash and CN¥827.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥424.2m.
根據最近公佈的資產負債表,航天動力有11.5億人民幣的到期負債12個月內,以及24740萬人民幣的到期負債超過12個月。抵消這一點,它有14860萬人民幣的現金和82780萬人民幣的應收賬款,在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款之和42420萬人民幣。
Since publicly traded Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech shares are worth a total of CN¥5.27b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
由於航天動力公開交易的股份總值爲52.7億人民幣,這種水平的負債似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。儘管如此,很明顯我們應繼續監控其資產負債表,以防發生惡化。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但正是航天動力的收入將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收入趨勢。點擊此處查看交互快照。
Over 12 months, Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥921m, which is a fall of 18%. We would much prefer see growth.
在過去12個月裏,航天動力在EBIt水平上虧損,並且其營業收入下降到92100萬人民幣,降幅爲18%。我們更希望看到增長。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Not only did Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥208m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥206m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
在過去12個月裏,航天動力的營業收入不僅下滑,而且在利息和稅前盈利(EBIt)方面也出現虧損。事實上,在EBIt水平上它虧損20800萬人民幣。考慮到上述負債,我們並不太有信心認爲公司應該使用這麼多債務。因此我們認爲其資產負債表有點緊張,儘管還未到無法挽救的地步。然而,去年它花掉了20600萬人民幣的現金,所以我們可以說我們確實認爲這支股票存在風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務最多。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 切勿僅止於此。這些風險可能很難察覺。每家公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現了航天動力的3個預警信號(其中有2個有點不太令人愉快!)您應該知曉。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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