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Is LONGi Green Energy Technology (SHSE:601012) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is LONGi Green Energy Technology (SHSE:601012) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

隆基綠能科技(SHSE:601012)是否在冒險使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  09/19 19:24

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601012) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到,隆基綠色能源技術有限公司(SHSE: 601012)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is LONGi Green Energy Technology's Net Debt?

隆基綠色能源科技的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 LONGi Green Energy Technology had debt of CN¥20.7b, up from CN¥10.4b in one year. But it also has CN¥54.5b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥33.8b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年6月,隆基綠色能源科技的債務爲207元人民幣,高於一年內的104元人民幣。但它也有545元人民幣的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲338元人民幣。

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SHSE:601012 Debt to Equity History September 19th 2024
SHSE: 601012 2024 年 9 月 19 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is LONGi Green Energy Technology's Balance Sheet?

隆基綠色能源科技的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that LONGi Green Energy Technology had liabilities of CN¥66.3b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥27.7b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥54.5b and CN¥13.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥25.9b.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,隆基綠色能源科技的負債爲663元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲277元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲545元人民幣和價值136元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額259元人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because LONGi Green Energy Technology is worth a massive CN¥100.9b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, LONGi Green Energy Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if LONGi Green Energy Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲隆基綠色能源科技的市值高達1009元人民幣,因此,如果需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。儘管隆基綠色能源科技確實有值得注意的負債,但其現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定隆基綠色能源科技能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

In the last year LONGi Green Energy Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 28%, to CN¥103b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,隆基綠色能源科技在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際上其收入減少了28%,至1030元人民幣。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

So How Risky Is LONGi Green Energy Technology?

那麼 LongI 綠色能源技術的風險有多大?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that LONGi Green Energy Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥11b of cash and made a loss of CN¥3.7b. With only CN¥33.8b on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for LONGi Green Energy Technology that you should be aware of.

我們毫不懷疑,總的來說,虧損公司比盈利的公司風險更大。而且我們確實注意到,隆基綠色能源科技去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,在那段時間裏,它燒燬了110元人民幣的現金,損失了37元人民幣。由於資產負債表上只有338元人民幣,看來它需要很快再次籌集資金。總的來說,我們會說這隻股票有點風險,在看到正的自由現金流之前,我們通常會非常謹慎。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了隆基綠色能源科技的1個警告標誌,你應該注意這一點。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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