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Is Absci (NASDAQ:ABSI) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Absci (NASDAQ:ABSI) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Absci (納斯達克:ABSI) 是否以一種冒險的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  09/20 08:49

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Absci Corporation (NASDAQ:ABSI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 「永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。」當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,Absci公司(納斯達克股票代碼:ABSI)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Absci's Debt?

什麼是Absci的債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Absci had debt of US$6.25m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$9.52m over a year. But on the other hand it also has US$145.2m in cash, leading to a US$139.0m net cash position.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年6月底,Absci的債務爲625萬美元,較上一年的952萬美元有所減少。但另一方面,它也有1.452億美元的現金,淨現金狀況爲1.39億美元。

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NasdaqGS:ABSI Debt to Equity History September 20th 2024
NASDAQGS: ABSI 債券與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 9 月 20 日

How Strong Is Absci's Balance Sheet?

Absci 的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Absci had liabilities of US$25.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$8.57m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$145.2m as well as receivables valued at US$44.0k due within 12 months. So it can boast US$111.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Absci在12個月內到期的負債爲255萬美元,之後到期的負債爲857萬美元。除這些債務外,它有1.452億美元的現金以及價值44.0萬美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有比總負債多1.112億美元的流動資產。

This excess liquidity suggests that Absci is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Absci has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Absci can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種過剩的流動性表明Absci對債務採取了謹慎的態度。由於它擁有充足的資產,因此不太可能與貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,Absci的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定Absci能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year Absci had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 62%, to US$3.3m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,Absci在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際上其收入減少了62%,至330萬美元。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

So How Risky Is Absci?

那麼 Absci 有多危險?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Absci lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$61m and booked a US$92m accounting loss. But at least it has US$139.0m on the balance sheet to spend on growth, near-term. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Absci that you should be aware of.

就其本質而言,虧損的公司比盈利歷史悠久的公司風險更大。事實是,在過去的十二個月中,Absci的利息和稅前收益(EBIT)額度蒙受了損失。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負6100萬美元,會計虧損爲9200萬美元。但至少在短期內,它的資產負債表上有1.39億美元可用於增長。總體而言,其資產負債表目前似乎風險不大,但在看到正自由現金流之前,我們始終保持謹慎。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經爲Absci確定了4個你應該注意的警告信號。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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