Investing in RTX (NYSE:RTX) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 68% Gain
Investing in RTX (NYSE:RTX) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 68% Gain
Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the RTX Corporation (NYSE:RTX) share price is up 64% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 31% (not including dividends). That's a solid performance by our standards! Also impressive, the stock is up 37% over three years, making long term shareholders happy, too.
被動投資在 graham 上 指數基金 可以獲得大致與整體市場相匹配的回報。但如果選擇正確的個別股票,可能會獲得更多收益。例如,RTX Corporation(紐交所: RTX)股價在過去1年上漲了64%,顯然優於大約31%的市場回報(不包括分紅)。按照我們的標準來看,這是一個出色的表現!同樣令人印象深刻的是,該股票在過去三年上漲了37%,也讓長期股東感到高興。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
現在值得更詳細地了解該公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
改述 本傑明·格雷厄姆:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。一個不完善但簡單的方法來考慮一家公司市場觀念如何轉變是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢。
During the last year, RTX actually saw its earnings per share drop 56%.
在過去的一年中,RTX的每股收益實際上下降了56%。
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
這意味着市場不太可能根據收益增長來評估公司。由於EPS的變化似乎不與股價的變化相關,因此值得關注其他指標。
Revenue was pretty flat year on year, but maybe a closer look at the data can explain the market optimism.
營業收入去年同比基本持平,但可能進一步分析數據可以解釋市場的樂觀情緒。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):
RTX is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
RTX是一隻衆所周知的股票,擁有衆多分析師的覆蓋,預示着對未來增長的一些可見性。因此,我們建議查看這份免費報告,顯示共識預測
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, RTX's TSR for the last 1 year was 68%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報之外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,而TSR包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌資或分拆帶來的好處。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。事實上,RTX過去1年的TSR爲68%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
It's nice to see that RTX shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 68% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 11%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand RTX better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that RTX is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...
很高興看到RTX的股東在過去一年中獲得了總股東回報率爲68%。其中包括分紅派息。這個收益優於過去五年的年度總股東回報率11%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎是積極的。樂觀的人可以將最近總股東回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨時間變得更好的指示。追蹤股價長期表現總是很有意思的。但是要更好地理解RTX,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。即使如此,請注意在我們的投資分析中RTX顯示了4個警告信號,其中1個是重要的...
Of course RTX may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,RTX可能不是最好買入的股票。所以你可能希望查看這個免費的成長股票合集。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。