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Is Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd (SZSE:300244) A Risky Investment?

Is Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd (SZSE:300244) A Risky Investment?

Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd (SZSE:300244)是否是一項高風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  09/20 19:18

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Dian Diagnostics Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300244) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人認爲,作爲投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過'波動性遠非風險的同義詞。'因此,明智的資金似乎知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險程度時的一個非常重要因素。與許多其他公司一樣,迪安診斷集團股份有限公司(SZSE:300244)利用了債務。但股東們應該擔心其使用債務嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當一家公司無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行債務時,債務和其他負債對於企業來說變得具有風險。 資本主義的重要組成部分是「創造性破壞」的過程,其中銀行家無情地清算失敗的企業。 然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是公司必須以超低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以鞏固其資產負債表。 當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是在資本密集型企業中。 在考慮公司的債務水平時的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's Debt?

迪安診斷集團有限公司的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd had CN¥3.75b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥4.76b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥2.18b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.57b.

您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但顯示迪安診斷集團有限公司在2024年6月的債務爲人民幣375億,比一年前的476億人民幣有所減少。然而,它有218億人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨債務約爲157億人民幣。

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SZSE:300244 Debt to Equity History September 20th 2024
SZSE:300244 2024年9月20日的債務資本比歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?

迪安診斷的資產負債表健康狀況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.04b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.68b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.18b and CN¥8.95b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥3.41b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

深入研究最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到迪安診斷有50.4億人民幣的短期負債,以及26.8億人民幣的長期負債。另一方面,公司有21.8億人民幣的現金和89.5億人民幣的一年內應收賬款。因此,公司比總負債多擁有34.1億人民幣的流動資產。

This surplus liquidity suggests that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master.

這種多餘的流動性表明迪安診斷的資產負債表可以承受打擊,就像霍默·辛普森的頭可以承受一擊一樣。從這個角度來看,債權人應該感到像黑帶空手道大師的愛人一樣安全。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了衡量公司相對於其收益的債務情況,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆蓋率)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨負債與 EBITDA),又考慮到了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。

While Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.5, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.0. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Shareholders should be aware that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's EBIT was down 66% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

儘管迪安診斷的淨債務與稅息折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)倍數爲1.5,但其利息償付倍數似乎偏弱,爲2.0。這確實表明公司正在支付相當高的利率。無論如何,可以肯定地說公司有着有意義的債務。股東應該注意,迪安診斷去年的息前稅前利潤(EBIT)下降了66%。如果這種盈利趨勢持續下去,那麼償還債務將如同把貓趕上過山車一樣困難。毫無疑問,我們大多數關於債務的了解來自資產負債表。但未來的收入,勝過任何事情,將決定迪安診斷保持健康資產負債表的能力。所以,如果你專注未來,可以查看這份展示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd recorded free cash flow of 38% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。因此,值得覈對公司息前稅前利潤(EBIT)中有多少由自由現金流支持。在過去三年中,迪安診斷的自由現金流佔其息前稅前利潤(EBIT)的38%,這比我們預期的要弱。這在償還債務時並不理想。

Our View

我們的觀點

We weren't impressed with Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd's interest cover, and its EBIT growth rate made us cautious. But like a ballerina ending on a perfect pirouette, it has not trouble staying on top of its total liabilities. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Dian Diagnostics GroupLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我們對迪安診斷集團的利息覆蓋率並不滿意,而其EBIT增長率使我們感到謹慎。但就像一名芭蕾舞者以完美的紅鞋旋轉結束一樣,它毫不費力地保持了對其總負債的控制。我們還應注意,像迪安診斷集團這樣的醫療行業公司通常可以毫無問題地使用債務。當我們考慮以上提到的所有因素時,我們認爲迪安診斷集團 Ltd 目前在管理債務方面做得相當不錯。儘管如此,負擔相當沉重,我們建議股東們密切關注情況。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解債務最多。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。例如,迪安診斷集團 Ltd. 存在 1 個警示信號,我們認爲您應該注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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