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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Shanghai Belling Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600171) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Shanghai Belling Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600171) Current Share Price Momentum?

混合基本面對上海貝爾(SHSE:600171)當前股價勢頭是否會產生負面影響?
Simply Wall St ·  09/21 20:18

Most readers would already be aware that Shanghai Belling's (SHSE:600171) stock increased significantly by 12% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Belling's ROE today.

大多數讀者已經意識到,上海貝靈(SHSE: 600171)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了12%。但是該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎各不相同,這使我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭是否可以維持。特別是,我們今天將關注上海貝靈的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Belling is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海貝林的投資回報率爲:

3.2% = CN¥134m ÷ CN¥4.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

3.2% = 13400萬元人民幣 ÷ 41元人民幣(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

「回報」 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。因此,這意味着其股東每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.03元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 「保留」 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Shanghai Belling's Earnings Growth And 3.2% ROE

上海貝林的收益增長和3.2%的投資回報率

It is hard to argue that Shanghai Belling's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 5.9%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 13% seen by Shanghai Belling over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很難說上海貝林的投資回報率本身就非常好。即使與5.9%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當慘淡。在這種情況下,上海貝林在過去五年中淨收入大幅下降了13%,這並不奇怪。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,該公司的派息率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。

That being said, we compared Shanghai Belling's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 17% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將上海貝凌的表現與該行業的表現進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在同期5年內以17%的速度增長了收益時,我們對此感到擔憂。

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SHSE:600171 Past Earnings Growth September 22nd 2024
SHSE: 600171 過去的收益增長 2024 年 9 月 22 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shanghai Belling's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。如果你想知道上海貝靈的估值,可以看看這個衡量其市盈率與行業相比的指標。

Is Shanghai Belling Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海貝林是否在有效利用其利潤?

When we piece together Shanghai Belling's low three-year median payout ratio of 19% (where it is retaining 81% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

當我們計算出上海貝林過去三年來最低的三年派息率中位數19%(保留了81%的利潤)時,我們對缺乏增長感到困惑。當公司保留大部分收益時,通常不應出現這種情況。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。

In addition, Shanghai Belling has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,上海貝林支付股息已有至少十年的時間,這表明即使以業務增長爲代價,維持股息支付對管理層來說也更爲重要。

Summary

摘要

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai Belling's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Belling.

總的來說,我們對上海貝林的表現有點矛盾。儘管該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低投資回報率意味着所有這些再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且還對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲上海貝靈確定的三種風險。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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