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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:601098)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:601098)?

股票下滑與實際基本面:市場是否對中國南方出版傳媒集團股份有限公司(SHSE:601098)有所誤解?
Simply Wall St ·  09/23 10:21

It is hard to get excited after looking at China South Publishing & Media Group's (SHSE:601098) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.9% over the past week. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study China South Publishing & Media Group's ROE in this article.

查看中國南方出版傳媒集團(SHSE:601098)最近的表現後很難感到興奮,因爲其股票在過去一週內下跌了4.9%。然而,仔細研究其健康的財務狀況可能會讓您重新考慮。鑑於基本面通常推動着長期市場結果,這家公司值得一看。特別是,我們決定在本文中研究中國南方出版傳媒集團的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

對於股東來說,股東回報率(ROE)是一個重要的考慮因素,因爲它告訴股東他們的資本被有效地再投資了多少。換句話說,它是一個衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利能力比率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China South Publishing & Media Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,中國南方出版傳媒集團的roe爲:

11% = CN¥1.8b ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

11% = 18億人民幣 ÷ 160億人民幣(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.11 in profit.

「回報」是過去十二個月的利潤。這意味着對於每1元股東權益,公司可以創造0.11元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe與盈利增長有何關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe衡量公司生成利潤的效率。根據公司再投資或「保留」的利潤比例及其有效性,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力。在其他一切保持不變的情況下,roe和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,相比於那些不一定擁有這些特性的公司。

China South Publishing & Media Group's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

中國南方出版傳媒集團的盈利增長和11%的roe

To start with, China South Publishing & Media Group's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 5.2% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to China South Publishing & Media Group's decent 6.4% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,中國南方出版傳媒集團的roe看起來還可以。尤其是與行業平均水平5.2%相比,該公司的roe看起來相當令人印象深刻。這無疑爲中國南方出版傳媒集團過去五年中看到的6.4%的淨利潤增長增添了一些背景。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that China South Publishing & Media Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 3.4% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,與行業淨利潤增長相比,我們發現中國南方出版傳媒集團的增長率相當高,與同期3.4%的行業平均增長率相比,這是令人欣慰的。

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SHSE:601098 Past Earnings Growth September 23rd 2024
SHSE:601098 過去盈利增長 2024年9月23日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China South Publishing & Media Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

給公司附加價值的基礎很大程度上取決於其收益增長。投資者知道市場是否已將公司預期的收益增長(或下降)價格化是很重要的。這樣一來,他們就能知道股票是否正朝着清澈見底的方向前進,還是等待着沼澤般的水域。預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它確定了市場願意爲一支股票支付多少錢,基於其盈利前景。因此,您可能想要檢查中國南方出版傳媒集團的市盈率是高還是低,與其所在行業相比。

Is China South Publishing & Media Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中國南方出版傳媒集團是否有效利用了留存收益?

While China South Publishing & Media Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 73% (which means it retains 27% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

雖然中國南方出版傳媒集團的三年中位數支付比率爲73%(這意味着它保留了27%的利潤),但公司在過去仍然看到了相當大的收益增長,這意味着其較高的支付比率並沒有妨礙其增長能力。

Moreover, China South Publishing & Media Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

此外,我們根據其至少持續十年支付股息的長期歷史,中國南方出版傳媒集團有決心將利潤分享給股東。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we are pretty happy with China South Publishing & Media Group's performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對中國南方出版傳媒集團的表現感到滿意。特別是,它的高roe值相當引人注目,也是其可觀盈利增長的可能解釋。然而,公司仍然保留了部分利潤。這意味着公司能夠在此情況下提高盈利,所以情況並不太糟糕。儘管如此,對最新分析師預測的研究顯示,預計公司未來的盈利增長將放緩。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊這裏查看我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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