Avicopter Plc's (SHSE:600038) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 69x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 26x and even P/E's below 16x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Avicopter as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Avicopter's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Avicopter's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Avicopter's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 34%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 65% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 26% per annum as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Avicopter is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Avicopter maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Avicopter that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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