We Think Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care (SHSE:605009) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care (SHSE:605009) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Co., Ltd (SHSE:605009) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,杭州皓月個人護理有限公司(SHSE: 605009)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多大的風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東才能控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,而且對自己有利。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
How Much Debt Does Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Carry?
杭州皓月個人護理揹負了多少債務?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care had CN¥335.2m of debt, up from CN¥300.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.51b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.18b net cash.
如下所示,截至2024年6月底,杭州皓月個人護理的債務爲33520萬元人民幣,高於去年同期的3萬加元。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,其資產負債表顯示它持有15.1元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有11.8元人民幣的淨現金。
How Strong Is Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's Balance Sheet?
杭州皓月個人護理的資產負債表有多強?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care had liabilities of CN¥1.08b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥144.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.51b in cash and CN¥206.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥498.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據上次報告的資產負債表,杭州皓月個人護理的負債爲10.8元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲14460萬元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有15.1元人民幣的現金和20660萬元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多出49800萬元人民幣。
This surplus suggests that Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種盈餘表明,杭州皓月個人護理的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,杭州皓月個人護理的現金多於債務,這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。
The good news is that Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has increased its EBIT by 6.0% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
好消息是,杭州皓月個人護理在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤增長了6.0%,這應該可以緩解對債務償還的任何擔憂。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定杭州皓月個人護理未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care recorded free cash flow worth 50% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但是我們的最終考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管杭州皓月個人護理的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在最近三年中,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,杭州皓月個人護理記錄的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的50%,這幾乎是正常的。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has CN¥1.18b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it also grew its EBIT by 6.0% over the last year. So is Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,杭州皓月個人護理的淨現金爲11.8元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。它的息稅前利潤也比去年增長了6.0%。那麼杭州皓月個人護理的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,杭州皓月個人護理有2個警告標誌(還有一個有點不愉快),我們認爲你應該知道。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。