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As Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd (SHSE:600967) Advances 4.6% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

As Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd (SHSE:600967) Advances 4.6% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

隨着內蒙古一機股份有限公司(SHSE:600967)本週上漲4.6%,投資者現在可能會注意到該公司的五年盈利增長
Simply Wall St ·  2024/09/25 02:30

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600967), since the last five years saw the share price fall 36%. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 23% in the last year.

爲了證明選擇個別股票的努力是值得的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但主要目標是要找到足夠的贏家,以彌補輸家的損失。此時一些股東可能在質疑他們對內蒙古一機股份有限公司(SHSE:600967)的投資,因爲過去五年股價下跌了36%。不僅是長揸者受到了損失,因爲該股票在過去一年內下跌了23%。

While the last five years has been tough for Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去五年對內蒙古一機股份有限公司股東來說並不容易,但最近一週顯示出了一些希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看一下更長期的基本面,看看它們是否導致了負回報。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

市場有時毫無疑問是有效的,但股票價格並不總是反映基本業務表現。一種有缺陷但合理的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格,以評估圍繞公司的情緒如何變化。

While the share price declined over five years, Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 2.9% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管股價在五年內下跌,內蒙古一機股份有限公司實際上成功地以每年平均2.9%的速度增加了每股收益。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不是該時期業務表現的良好指標(可能是由於一次性損益)。另外,過去可能對增長預期過於不切實際。

Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.

根據這些數據,我們認爲半個世紀前市場可能過於樂觀地預測了增長。考慮其他指標可能更好地解釋股價變化。

The revenue decline of 2.6% isn't too bad. But if the market expected durable top line growth, then that could explain the share price weakness.

2.6%的營業收入下降並不算太糟糕。但如果市場預期穩定的頂線增長,那麼這可能解釋股價的疲軟。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

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SHSE:600967 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 25th 2024
SHSE:600967盈利和營收增長2024年9月25日

Take a more thorough look at Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通過這份關於內蒙一機公司財務健康狀況的免費報告,更全面地了解其資產負債表。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -29%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是注意總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異。股價回報只反映了股價的變化,而TSR包括了分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價的增資或剝離的好處。可以說,TSR提供了更全面的股票回報畫面。我們注意到,對於內蒙一機公司而言,過去5年的TSR爲-29%,優於上述提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd shareholders are down 20% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -19%. So last year was actually even worse than the last five years, which cost shareholders 5% per year. Weak performance over the long term usually destroys market confidence in a stock, but bargain hunters may want to take a closer look for signs of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

內蒙古第一機械集團有限責任公司的股東在過去十二個月內跌幅達20%(甚至包括分紅派息),與市場回報率-19%相差不遠。因此,去年實際上比過去五年還要糟糕,每年損失股東5%。長期表現疲弱通常會摧毀市場對股票的信心,但低價獵手可能希望更仔細地尋找復甦跡象。儘管值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有更重要的因素。但是請注意,內蒙古第一機械集團有限責任公司在我們的投資分析中顯示有1個警告信號,您應該了解...。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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