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Does BBMG (HKG:2009) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Does BBMG (HKG:2009) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

金隅集團(HKG:2009)有健康的資產負債表嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/24 21:38

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that BBMG Corporation (HKG:2009) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險並不是價格的波動性,而是是否會遭受到資本的永久損失。」 因此,當您考慮任何特定股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。我們注意到金隅集團(HKG:2009)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但這些債務會讓股東感到擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有當公司不能輕鬆地支付債務,無論是通過籌集資本還是利用自己的現金流,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制企業。然而,一種更常見(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,它必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。當然,很多公司使用債務來融資增長,沒有任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務的情況時,我們首先看現金和債務的綜合狀況。

How Much Debt Does BBMG Carry?

金隅的負債有多少?

As you can see below, BBMG had CN¥113.1b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥18.3b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥94.8b.

正如下面所示,金隅在2024年6月有1131億元人民幣的債務,與前一年相當。您可以點擊圖表以獲得更詳細信息。然而,由於其擁有183億元人民幣的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約爲948億元人民幣。

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SEHK:2009 Debt to Equity History September 25th 2024
SEHK:2009的資產負債歷史情況於2024年9月25日

How Strong Is BBMG's Balance Sheet?

金隅集團的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that BBMG had liabilities of CN¥107.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥68.8b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥18.3b and CN¥21.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥136.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

深入了解最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到金隅集團有1079億人民幣的一年內到期負債和688億人民幣的長期到期負債。另一方面,其賬上有183億人民幣現金和218億人民幣的一年內應收賬款。因此,它的負債總計高達1367億人民幣,超過了其現金和短期應收賬款的合計。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥13.3b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, BBMG would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine BBMG's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這一赤字給這家133億人民幣的公司蒙上了一層陰影,就像一座巨人高聳於凡人之上。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。歸根結底,如果其債權人要求償還債務,金隅集團可能需要進行大規模再資本化。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,影響金隅集團未來能否保持健康資產負債表的更多是未來收入。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, BBMG reported revenue of CN¥104b, which is a gain of 7.7%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

在過去12個月裏,金隅集團報告了1040億人民幣的營業收入,增長了7.7%,儘管它沒有報告利息和稅前收入。對於我們的口味來說,這種增長速度有點慢,但不同類型的企業各有各的存在價值。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

Over the last twelve months BBMG produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥1.8b at the EBIT level. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it burned through CN¥4.0b in the last year. So is this a high risk stock? We think so, and we'd avoid it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for BBMG you should know about.

在過去12個月裏,金隅集團在利息和稅前收益(EBIT)上報告了虧損。事實上,在EBIT水平上虧損了相當可觀的18億人民幣。考慮到這一點和大量的總負債,要對這支股票做出什麼評論確實令人困擾,因爲我們對它缺乏極大的好感。當然,公司可能會有一個關於如何邁向更光明未來的美好故事。但現實是,相對於負債,公司的流動資產較少,而且去年虧損了40億人民幣。所以,這是一支高風險股票嗎?我們認爲是的,我們將避開它。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現了金隅集團的 2 個預警信號,您應該知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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