Is Aerosun (SHSE:600501) Using Debt Sensibly?
Is Aerosun (SHSE:600501) Using Debt Sensibly?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Aerosun Corporation (SHSE:600501) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大衛·伊本說得很好,他曾說過:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致破產。重要的是,航天晨光 (SHSE:600501) 確實負債。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否使公司變得風險更大。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般而言,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還它,要麼通過提高資本要麼通過自身的現金流量。如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能無法獲得任何資產。然而,更常見的(但仍然昂貴)情況是,一家公司必須以便宜的股票價格稀釋股東,以控制債務。儘管如此,在公司合理控制債務並使之發揮自身優勢的情況下,最常見的情況是公司合理管理債務。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是查看其現金和債務。
What Is Aerosun's Debt?
航天晨光的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Aerosun had CN¥115.5m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥697.6m, one year before. But it also has CN¥210.9m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥95.4m net cash.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但顯示航天晨光在2024年6月的債務爲11550萬元人民幣,低於一年前的69760萬元人民幣。但它也有21090萬元現金來抵銷,意味着它有9540萬元淨現金。
A Look At Aerosun's Liabilities
航天晨光負債情況一覽
The latest balance sheet data shows that Aerosun had liabilities of CN¥2.78b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥36.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥210.9m and CN¥2.00b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥605.6m.
最新資產負債表數據顯示,航天晨光一年內到期的負債爲27.8億人民幣,之後到期的負債爲3670萬人民幣。與此同時,它擁有總額爲21090萬人民幣的現金和一年內到期的應收賬款價值20億人民幣。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款總和60560萬人民幣。
Given Aerosun has a market capitalization of CN¥6.76b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Aerosun boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Aerosun's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
考慮到航天晨光市值爲67.6億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成多大威脅。話雖如此,顯然我們應繼續密切監控其資產負債表,以防惡化。儘管其負債引人注目,航天晨光仍擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但正是航天晨光的盈利將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。所以,在考慮債務時,值得關注盈利趨勢。單擊此處查看互動快照。
Over 12 months, Aerosun made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥3.1b, which is a fall of 27%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在過去12個月中,航天晨光在EBIt水平上錄得虧損,並看到其營業收入降至31億人民幣,同比下降27%。坦率地說,這不是一個好兆頭。
So How Risky Is Aerosun?
航天晨光有多大風險?
Although Aerosun had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥186m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Aerosun that you should be aware of.
儘管航天晨光在過去12個月中EBIT虧損,但其自由現金流爲18600萬人民幣。因此,就此而言,並考慮到淨現金情況,我們認爲該股票近期不太具風險。隨着營收增長乏力,我們確實需要看到一些積極的EBIt才能對這家企業充滿熱情。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超越資產負債表外的風險。例如,我們已經發現了航天晨光的1個警告信號,您應該注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。
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