Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002497) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.8x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group Performed Recently?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 34%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 136% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 9.6% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 21% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group's P/S
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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