Is Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002250) A Risky Investment?
Is Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002250) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Lianhe Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002250) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他表示,與其擔心股價波動,'我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性...而且我認識的每個實際投資者都擔心這一點。所以看起來聰明的人知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是一家公司風險評估中的一個非常重要因素。我們注意到聯化科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002250)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但股東們是否應該擔心它使用債務?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當一家企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來輕鬆地履行這些義務時,其負債和其他負責成爲了一種風險。最壞的情況是,如果一家公司不能償還債權人的債務,那麼它可能會破產。但是,常見但仍然昂貴的情況是:公司必須以低廉的股票價格稀釋股東,以便控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是:一家公司合理地管理其債務,並使其爲自己帶來好處。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用情況時,我們首先看現金和債務在一起。
What Is Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd's Debt?
聯化科技股份有限公司的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥4.19b, up from CN¥4.01b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.14b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥3.05b.
下面的圖片,您可以單擊以獲取更詳細信息,顯示,截至2024年6月,聯化科技股份有限公司的債務爲419億人民幣,比一年前的401億元有所增加。另一方面,它有114億元現金,導致淨債務約305億元。
A Look At Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
查看聯化科技有限公司的負債情況
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.43b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.42b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.14b in cash and CN¥1.57b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.13b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
深入了解最新資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,聯化科技有限公司的負債中,有34.3億人民幣會在12個月內到期,34.2億人民幣會在此之後到期。與此相抵,公司有11.4億人民幣現金和15.7億人民幣應在12個月內到期的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出41.3億人民幣。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥4.45b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
相對於其市值44.5億人民幣,這個赤字相當可觀,因此建議股東們關注聯化科技有限公司的債務使用情況。這意味着如果公司需要緊急強化資產負債表,股東們可能會遭受嚴重攤薄。毫無疑問,我們最能從資產負債表中了解債務情況。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定聯化科技有限公司是否能夠隨着時間增強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份有關分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
In the last year Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 26%, to CN¥5.8b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在過去一年,聯化科技有限公司在利息和稅前虧損,並實際將營業收入減少了26%,至5800000000人民幣。坦白說,這不是個好兆頭。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
While Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥83m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥476m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lianhe Chemical TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管聯化科技有限公司正在下降的營業收入讓人倍感沮喪,可以說其利息和稅前盈利(EBIT)虧損甚至更令人難以接受。事實上,其EBIT虧損8300萬元人民幣。當我們看到這一點,並回想起其資產負債表上的負債,相對於現金,對我們來說,公司持有任何債務似乎是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非完美,儘管可能會隨着時間得到改善。舉個例子,我們不希望看到去年虧損47600萬元人民幣的重演。與此同時,我們認爲該股風險非常高。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現了一項關於聯化科技有限公司的警示信號,您在此進行投資前應該注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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