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The Past Five-year Earnings Decline for Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group (SHSE:600120) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

The Past Five-year Earnings Decline for Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group (SHSE:600120) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

浙江東方財務控股集團(SHSE:600120)過去五年的收益下降可能解釋了股東們的長期虧損
Simply Wall St ·  09/25 22:18

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600120) share price up 15% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 16%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

儘管這可能不足以滿足一些股東的要求,但我們認爲浙江東方證券控股集團有限公司(SHSE:600120)的股價在一個季度內上漲了15%是件好事。但這並不能改變過去五年的回報令人不滿的事實。實際上,股價下跌了16%,遠遠不及購買指數基金可以獲得的回報。

While the last five years has been tough for Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去五年對浙江東方證券控股集團的股東來說是艱難的,但過去一週顯示出了一些希望的跡象。所以讓我們看看長期的基本面情況,看看它們是否是導致負回報的原因。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

市場有時無疑是高效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。 一種檢查市場情緒如何隨時間改變的方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 17% each year. The share price decline of 3% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 45.51 suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.

在股價下跌的五年裏,浙江東方證券控股集團的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了17%。每年股價下跌3%並不像每股收益下降那麼糟糕。因此,市場可能之前已經預期會下降,或者它預期情況將會改善。45.51的高市盈率表明股東相信未來幾年收益將會增長。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。

big
SHSE:600120 Earnings Per Share Growth September 26th 2024
SHSE:600120每股收益增長2024年9月26日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

值得注意的是,與類似規模的公司相比,CEO的薪酬要低一些。關注CEO的薪酬是值得的,但更重要的問題是公司是否能夠實現多年的收益增長。如果你想進一步研究該股票,浙江東方的營業收入、營收和現金流的這份免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group the TSR over the last 5 years was -11%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報之外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。 TSR是一個考慮現金股利價值(假設任何收到的股利都被再投資)以及任何折價的增資和剝離價值的回報計算。因此,對於支付慷慨股利的公司,TSR通常比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,浙江東方在過去5年的TSR爲-11%,比上述股價回報要好。公司支付的股利因此提高了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We're pleased to report that Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 3.9% over one year. That's including the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 2% per year over the last half decade. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我們很高興地報告說,浙江東方的股東在過去一年裏獲得了總股東回報率爲3.9%。 包括股息在內。 這絕對比過去半個十年每年約2%的虧損要好。 長期的虧損使我們謹慎,但短期的TSR增益確實暗示着更加光明的未來。 雖然考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響是值得的,但有其他更重要的因素。 例如,投資風險始終存在。 我們已經確定了浙江東方存在的3個警告信號,並理解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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