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Is Addsino (SZSE:000547) A Risky Investment?

Is Addsino (SZSE:000547) A Risky Investment?

Addsino(SZSE:000547)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/26 00:34

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Addsino Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000547) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過,"最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是您是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。" 所以看起來聰明的投資者知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素,當您評估一家公司的風險性時。我們注意到,Addsino Co.,Ltd.(SZSE:000547)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債就會變得冒險。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一文不值。然而,一個更常見但仍然痛苦的情況是,公司必須以低價籌集新的股本資金,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。當然,債務在企業中可以是一個重要的工具,尤其是對於資本密集型企業而言。在考慮企業使用了多少債務時,首要的是要查看其現金和債務的狀況。

What Is Addsino's Net Debt?

Addsino的淨債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Addsino had CN¥1.24b of debt, an increase on CN¥788.9m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.42b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥182.9m.

您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但截至2024年6月,Addsino的債務爲12.4億元人民幣,在一年內增加了7889萬元人民幣。然而,它確實有14.2億元人民幣的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨現金爲1829萬元人民幣。

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SZSE:000547 Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024
SZSE:000547債務與權益歷史數據2024年9月26日

How Strong Is Addsino's Balance Sheet?

Addsino的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Addsino had liabilities of CN¥4.33b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥490.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.42b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.00b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥396.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據最近披露的資產負債表顯示,Addsino有433億元的負債需在12個月內償還,以及49050萬元的負債需在12個月後償還。抵消這些債務的是,它有142億元的現金和300億元應在12個月內到期的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款總額多39690萬元。

Since publicly traded Addsino shares are worth a total of CN¥10.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Addsino also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Addsino's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

由於Addsino公開交易股價總值爲105億元,這種水平的負債似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,我們認爲值得密切關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨時間而變化。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,Addsino也比債務擁有更多的現金,因此我們相當有信心它能安全管理其債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務的大部分內容。但是Addsino的收入將影響未來資產負債表的情況。因此,在考慮債務時,着眼於收入趨勢絕對是值得的。點擊這裏查看互動快照。

Over 12 months, Addsino made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.6b, which is a fall of 45%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在12個月內,Addsino在EBIt水平上虧損,並且其營業收入下降至160億元,下降了45%。這至少令我們感到有些緊張。

So How Risky Is Addsino?

那麼Addsino有多冒險?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that Addsino had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥656m and booked a CN¥2.0b accounting loss. However, it has net cash of CN¥182.9m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Addsino you should know about.

從本質上講,虧損的公司比那些長期盈利的公司更具風險性。我們確實注意到,過去一年中Addsino的利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損。在同一時期,它看到了65600萬元的負自由現金流出和20億元的會計虧損。然而,它有淨現金18290萬元,因此在需要更多資本之前還有一些時間。總的來說,我們對這個公司有些懷疑,因爲在沒有自由現金流的情況下,它似乎相當具有風險性。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表了解債務的大部分內容。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表之內——而不是完全如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現了Addsino的1個警告信號,您應該知曉。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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