Shareholders 25% Loss in Guangdong Tapai Group (SZSE:002233) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Three Years
Shareholders 25% Loss in Guangdong Tapai Group (SZSE:002233) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Three Years
It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But when the market is down, you're bound to have some losers. While the Guangdong Tapai Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002233) share price is down 35% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -25%. That's better than the market which declined 26% over the last three years. On the other hand the share price has bounced 9.5% over the last week. The buoyant market could have helped drive the share price pop, since stocks are up 6.7% in the same period.
當股票表現不如預期時,股東可能會感到沮喪。但在市場走低時,一定會有一些輸家。雖然廣東塔牌集團股份有限公司(SZSE:002233)的股價在過去三年下跌了35%,股東的總回報(包括分紅)爲-25%。這比市場下跌了26%好。另一方面,股價在過去一週反彈了9.5%。市場的活躍可能推動了股價上漲,因爲股票在同一時期上漲了6.7%。
While the stock has risen 9.5% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
儘管股票在過去一週上漲了9.5%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態。讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否認的是,市場有時是高效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。一個不完美但簡單的方法來考慮公司市場感知如何改變是比較每股收益(EPS)變化和股價變動。
Guangdong Tapai Group saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 35% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 14% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term.
在過去三年中,廣東塔牌集團的每股收益以年複合率35%的速度下降。相比之下,股價的年複合下降率爲14%,並不像每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。因此,儘管之前令人失望,股東必須對情況會在較長時間內改善抱有一定的信心。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Guangdong Tapai Group, it has a TSR of -25% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報和股價回報至關重要。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何收到的股息都重新投資)以及任何貼現的資本增發和拆分的計算價值。因此,對於支付慷慨股息的公司,TSR通常比股價回報高得多。就塔牌集團而言,過去3年其TSR爲-25%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Although it hurts that Guangdong Tapai Group returned a loss of 5.6% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 14%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 0.7% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guangdong Tapai Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Guangdong Tapai Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
儘管塔牌集團在過去12個月內出現虧損5.6%,但更廣泛的市場實際上表現更糟糕,虧損14%。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明尚未解決的挑戰,因爲這比過去半個世紀的年化虧損0.7%還要糟糕。雖然有些投資者專門從事購買陷入困境的公司(儘管被低估),但不要忘記巴菲特說過的「轉型很少成功」。跟蹤股價表現長期來看總是很有趣。但爲了更好地了解塔牌集團,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,承擔風險 - 塔牌集團有2個警示信號(我們認爲您應該知曉的1個信號也並不太符合我們的期望)。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。