When close to half the companies in the Luxury industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, you may consider Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) Limited (SZSE:000017) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 23%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 278% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What Does Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s P/S Mean For Investors?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It's no surprise that Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) can support its high P/S given the strong revenue growth its experienced over the last three-year is superior to the current industry outlook. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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