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Investors in Long Yuan Construction Group (SHSE:600491) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 64%, Even After 11% Gain This Past Week

Investors in Long Yuan Construction Group (SHSE:600491) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 64%, Even After 11% Gain This Past Week

五年前投資龍元建設集團(SHSE:600491)的投資者仍然虧損64%,即使在過去一週上漲了11%
Simply Wall St ·  09/26 02:08

Long Yuan Construction Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600491) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last week. But that can't change the reality that over the longer term (five years), the returns have been really quite dismal. Indeed, the share price is down 65% in the period. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. We'd err towards caution given the long term under-performance.

龍元建設(SHSE:600491)股東應該高興地看到上週股價上漲11%。 但這並不能改變長期(五年)回報實際上相當糟糕的事實。 實際上,在此期間,股價下跌了65%。 因此,我們對短期增長持謹慎態度。 鑑於長期表現不佳,我們更傾向於謹慎。

While the last five years has been tough for Long Yuan Construction Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

雖然過去五年對龍元建設集團的股東來說是艱難的,但上週顯示了一些希望的跡象。 因此,讓我們看看長期基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動因素。

Long Yuan Construction Group isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

龍元建設集團目前沒有盈利,因此大多數分析師會關注營業收入增長,以了解基礎業務增長速度。 一般來說,沒有盈利的公司預計每年都會增長營業收入,並且增速會很快。 想象一下,快速的營業收入增長,如果持續下去,通常會導致快速的利潤增長。

Over half a decade Long Yuan Construction Group reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 17% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. Arguably, the market has responded appropriately to this business performance by sending the share price down 11% (annualized) in the same time period. It's fair to say most investors don't like to invest in loss making companies with falling revenue. You'd want to research this company pretty thoroughly before buying, it looks a bit too risky for us.

在過去的半個世紀裏,龍元建設集團每年將其過去十二個月的營業收入降低了17%。 這將其置於一個不太吸引人的同行中,委婉地說是如此。 可以說市場對此業績作出了適當反應,將股價在同一時期內下跌了11%(年化)。 可以公平地說,大多數投資者不願投資於營收下降的虧損公司。 在購買之前,您需要徹底調研該公司,對我們來說看起來有點太冒險了。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

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SHSE:600491 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 26th 2024
SHSE:600491 2024年9月26日收益和營業收入增長

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在這個免費的互動圖表中看到它的資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而加強(或削弱)。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We regret to report that Long Yuan Construction Group shareholders are down 38% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Long Yuan Construction Group you should be aware of.

遺憾地報告,龍元建設集團股東今年下跌了38%。不幸的是,這比整體市場下跌14%更糟糕。話雖如此,在下跌市場中,一些股票被賣過頭是不可避免的。關鍵在於保持關注基本面情況。遺憾的是,去年的表現爲股東遭受了五年中每年10%的總虧損,這結束了一段糟糕的運行。一般來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個不好的跡象,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究這支股票,期待逆轉。我發現長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞見,我們也需要考慮其他信息。舉例來說:我們發現了龍元建設集團的兩個預警信號,你應該注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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