Suzhou Jinfu Technology (SZSE:300128) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Suzhou Jinfu Technology (SZSE:300128) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Suzhou Jinfu Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300128) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
當大衛·伊本說'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。'時,他說得很好。因此,顯然在考慮任何給定股票的風險時,您需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。需要注意的是,SZSE:300128持有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務創造了多少風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一家企業無法償還債務,那麼它將受到債權人的擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,更常見的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,它必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,負債的好處在於,它通常代表廉價的資本,尤其是在取代公司的稀釋並具有以高回報率再投資能力時。當我們審查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Suzhou Jinfu Technology's Net Debt?
錦富技術的淨債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Suzhou Jinfu Technology had CN¥1.42b of debt, an increase on CN¥970.1m, over one year. However, it also had CN¥482.5m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥939.7m.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但截至2024年6月,錦富技術的債務爲14.2億人民幣,比一年前增加了97010萬人民幣。然而,它也有48250萬人民幣的現金,因此其淨債務爲93970萬人民幣。
How Healthy Is Suzhou Jinfu Technology's Balance Sheet?
錦富技術的資產負債表狀況如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Suzhou Jinfu Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.98b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥367.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥482.5m and CN¥823.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.04b.
根據最近披露的資產負債表,錦富技術的負債中,有1,980百萬元在12個月內到期,而超過12個月到期的負債爲367.4百萬元。另一方面,公司擁有48.25百萬元的現金和82.31百萬元的應收賬款,其中一年內到期。因此,其負債比現金和(短期)應收賬款總和多104億。
Suzhou Jinfu Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥4.57b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Suzhou Jinfu Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
錦富技術的市值爲人民幣45.7億,因此很有可能籌集資金來改善其資產負債表,如果有需要的話。但我們確實希望保持警惕,查看其債務是否帶來過多的風險。毫無疑問,我們大部分關於債務的了解都來自資產負債表。但你不能孤立地看待債務;因爲錦富技術需要收入來償還債務。所以,如果你渴望了解更多關於其收入的信息,不妨查看其長期收入趨勢圖。
In the last year Suzhou Jinfu Technology wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 22%, to CN¥1.9b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
在過去一年裏,錦富技術在息稅前利潤(EBIt)水平上沒有盈利,但成功將營業收入增長了22%,達到了190億人民幣。股東們可能期待它能實現盈利。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Even though Suzhou Jinfu Technology managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost CN¥189m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥664m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Suzhou Jinfu Technology (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
儘管錦富技術成功地相當靈活地增長了其收入,但殘酷的現實是,其在息稅前利潤(EBIt)上虧損。事實上,在EBIt水平上虧損了1.89億人民幣。當我們看到這一點,並回憶其資產負債表上的負債與現金的比例時,我們認爲公司有任何債務是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠未達到完全匹配的狀態,儘管隨着時間的推移可能會得到改善。另一個需要謹慎的原因是該公司在過去十二個月裏負自由現金流失6.64億人民幣。因此,可以說我們認爲該股票風險極高。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最了解債務。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內 - 遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了錦富技術存在3個警告信號(其中1個我們並不滿意),你應該注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。
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