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Why Vanov Holdings' (HKG:2260) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Vanov Holdings' (HKG:2260) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

爲何環龍控股(臨時代碼:2260)的不穩定盈利只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  09/26 18:39

Investors were disappointed by Vanov Holdings Company Limited's (HKG:2260 ) latest earnings release. We did some analysis, and found that there are some reasons to be cautious about the headline numbers.

投資者對環龍控股(臨時代碼:HK:2260)最新的盈利發佈感到失望。我們進行了一些分析,發現有一些原因需要對頭條數字保持謹慎。

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SEHK:2260 Earnings and Revenue History September 26th 2024
SEHK:2260盈利和營業收入歷史數據爲2024年9月26日

A Closer Look At Vanov Holdings' Earnings

仔細觀察環龍控股的盈利情況

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

作爲金融迷,大家應該已經知道,從現金流量中的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配情況的關鍵指標之一。 換句話說,該比率將FCF從淨利潤中扣除,並將該數值除以公司在該期間內的平均營運資產。 該比率顯示我們公司盈利超過了自由現金流的多少。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,實際上是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率爲零以上的事情無關緊要,但我們認爲當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文:「應計越高的公司未來利潤率越低」。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Vanov Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥51.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥78m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥78m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年6月的十二個月內,環龍控股的應計比率爲0.21。因此,我們知道其自由現金流明顯低於其淨利潤,這並不是一個好兆頭。儘管它報告了5130萬人民幣的盈利,但從自由現金流情況來看,實際上在過去一年中燒掉了7800萬人民幣。考慮到上一年的負自由現金流,我們可以想象一些股東可能會想知道,今年的7800萬人民幣現金燒損是否表示高風險。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Vanov Holdings.

注意: 我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。 點擊此處查看我們對環龍控股資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Vanov Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對環龍控股(臨時代碼)的盈利表現持有看法。

Vanov Holdings' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Vanov Holdings' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Vanov Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Vanov Holdings has 4 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

最近十二個月的環龍控股的應計比率表示現金轉化不夠理想,這對我們對其盈利的看法是一個負面因素。 因此,我們認爲環龍控股實際的底層盈利能力可能低於其法定利潤。 可悲的是,過去十二個月其每股收益下降。 當然,我們只是剛剛開始分析其盈利;除了利潤,還可以考慮邊際利潤、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。 如果您想了解環龍控股作爲一家企業更多信息,了解其面臨的任何風險是很重要的。 例如,我們發現環龍控股有4個警示信號(1個不容忽視!)在繼續進行分析之前值得您關注。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Vanov Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天我們只關注了一個數據點,以更好地了解環龍控股的盈利性質。 但是,如果您能夠專注於細枝末節,總會有更多發現。 一些人認爲高淨資產收益率是優質企業的良好標誌。 因此,您可能希望查看這些具有高淨資產回報率的公司的免費收藏,或者這些擁有高內部所有權股票的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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