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We Think Suning UniversalLtd (SZSE:000718) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Suning UniversalLtd (SZSE:000718) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲蘇寧環球有限公司(SZSE:000718)可以繼續控制其債務
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 00:14

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Suning Universal Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000718) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得很對,他說,'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免永久性的資本損失。'因此,聰明的資金知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險性的一個非常重要因素。我們可以看到,蘇寧環球股份有限公司(SZSE:000718)的業務確實使用債務。但股東們是否應該擔心其使用債務?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助業務增長的工具,但如果一家企業無法償還債權人,它就存在於債權人的掌控下。如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,那麼股東可能一無所獲。當然,更爲頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是公司必須以低於市場價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以補充其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是,它通常代表廉價的資本,特別是當它替代了一家公司在高回報率下再投資的稀釋時。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務的情況時,首先看的是現金和債務的總和。

What Is Suning UniversalLtd's Net Debt?

蘇寧環球有限公司的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Suning UniversalLtd had CN¥1.67b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥2.23b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥637.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.03b.

您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數字,但顯示蘇寧環球有限公司在2024年6月有16.7億人民幣的債務,低於一年前的22.3億人民幣。然而,它還有63760萬人民幣的現金,因此其淨債務爲10.3億人民幣。

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SZSE:000718 Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024
SZSE:000718債務權益歷史 2024年9月27日

A Look At Suning UniversalLtd's Liabilities

蘇寧環球有關負債的一瞥

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Suning UniversalLtd had liabilities of CN¥4.01b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥887.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥637.6m and CN¥1.23b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.04b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

深入看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到蘇寧環球有400.1億元的負債在12個月內到期,以及超過這個期限的8878萬元的負債。另一方面,公司擁有6376萬元和12.3億元應於一年內到期的應收款項。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收款項的合計多304億元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Suning UniversalLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥6.28b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

雖然這看起來很多,但並不算太糟糕,因爲蘇寧環球的市值爲62.8億元,所以如果有需要,公司可能通過增加資本來加強資產負債表。但很明顯,我們絕對應該密切關注公司是否能夠在沒有稀釋的情況下管理其債務。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.3 and interest cover of 5.2 times, it seems to us that Suning UniversalLtd is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. One way Suning UniversalLtd could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 11%, as it did over the last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Suning UniversalLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

從其淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率爲1.3和利息覆蓋倍數爲5.2倍來看,我們認爲蘇寧環球可能是以一種相當合理的方式利用債務。因此,我們建議密切關注融資成本對業務的影響。蘇寧環球可以擊敗其債務的一種方法是停止借更多款項,但繼續以大約11%的速度增長EBIt,就像過去一年所做的那樣。資產負債表顯然是在分析債務時需要關注的領域。但決定資產負債表未來狀況的還是蘇寧環球的盈利。因此,在考慮債務時,值得關注盈利趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Suning UniversalLtd recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要現金。邏輯的步驟是看看EBIt中與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在最近的三年中,蘇寧環球記錄的自由現金流相當於其EBIt的58%,這在正常情況下是可以接受的,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅款。這筆確切的現金意味着公司可以在希望時減少其債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Suning UniversalLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Considering this range of data points, we think Suning UniversalLtd is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Suning UniversalLtd (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

蘇寧環球有限公司將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流對此分析是一個真正的正面,其EBIt增長率也是如此。 話雖如此,其總負債水平在一定程度上使我們對資產負債表可能面臨的未來風險更加敏感。考慮到這一系列數據點,我們認爲蘇寧環球有限公司有能力管理其債務水平。但需要謹慎提醒的是:我們認爲債務水平高到足以證明繼續監控的必要性。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表之中——遠非如此。我們已經識別出蘇寧環球有限公司存在四個警告跡象(至少有兩個可能嚴重),了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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