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Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd (SHSE:600252) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd (SHSE:600252) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

廣西梧州中恒集團有限公司(SHSE:600252)負債而無收入;你應該擔心嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 01:22

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600252) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯在談到這個問題時說得很好,他認爲,與其擔心股價波動,不如擔心永久性損失的可能性......我認識的每個實際投資者都會擔心這個。看起來那些聰明的投資者都知道,在評估一家公司的風險時,通常涉及破產的債務是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,廣西梧州中恒集團股份有限公司(SHSE:600252)也在借債。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓公司變得更加具備風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

通常情況下,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,它才會變成真正的問題,這要麼是通過增加資本,要麼通過自身現金流實現。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見但仍然代價高昂的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股份,永久稀釋股東,以穩固其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,並沒有任何負面後果。在檢驗債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd Carry?

廣西梧州中恒集團股份有限公司承擔了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd had CN¥1.92b of debt, up from CN¥1.55b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.24b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.32b net cash.

正如您可以看到的,在2024年6月底,廣西梧州中恒集團股份有限公司的債務總額爲19.2億人民幣,比一年前的15.5億人民幣有所增長。點擊圖片以獲取更多詳細信息。然而,根據其資產負債表顯示,公司持有42.4億人民幣的現金,因此實際上淨現金爲23.2億人民幣。

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SHSE:600252 Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024
SHSE:600252自負債權益歷史2024年9月27日

How Healthy Is Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?

廣西梧州中恒集團的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.61b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥742.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.24b and CN¥1.69b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥2.59b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

關注最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到廣西梧州中恒集團有261億人民幣的負債到期在12個月內,以及74210萬人民幣的負債超過12個月。另一方面,它有424億人民幣的現金和169億人民幣的應收款項,將在一年內到期。所以它實際上比總負債多259億人民幣的流動資產。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

這種多餘的流動性是廣西梧州中恒集團的資產負債表幾乎和福特諾克斯一樣強大的重要指標。從這個角度看,貸款人應該感覺跟黑帶空手道大師的愛人一樣安全。簡而言之,廣西梧州中恒集團擁有比債務更多的現金這一事實,可以說是它能夠安全管理債務的一個良好指標。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上對債務了解最多。但你不能孤立地看待債務;因爲廣西梧州中恒集團需要盈利來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注盈利趨勢。點擊這裏查看一個交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

在12個月內,廣西梧州中恒集團的營業收入基本保持穩定,但未報告利息和稅前盈利。雖然這並不算太糟糕,但我們更希望看到增長。

So How Risky Is Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd?

那麼廣西梧州中恒集團有多大風險呢?

Although Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥18m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管廣西梧州中恒集團在過去12個月裏利息和稅前盈利(EBIT)虧損,但也實現了1800萬人民幣的法定利潤。因此,考慮到它擁有淨現金,再加上法定利潤,股票在短期內可能並不像看起來那麼風險。一旦EBIt爲正,隨着低迷的營收增長,我們對該股會感到更有信心。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現了廣西梧州中恒集團的3個警示信號(1個不能忽視!),在投資這裏之前你應該注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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