Is Tasly Pharmaceutical Group (SHSE:600535) A Risky Investment?
Is Tasly Pharmaceutical Group (SHSE:600535) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Tasly Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:600535) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,天士力製藥集團有限公司(SHSE:600535)也使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
What Is Tasly Pharmaceutical Group's Net Debt?
天士力製藥集團的淨負債是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tasly Pharmaceutical Group had debt of CN¥2.53b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥3.17b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥5.80b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.26b net cash.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年6月底,天士力製藥集團的債務爲25.3元人民幣,較一年內的31.7元人民幣有所減少。但是,其資產負債表顯示它持有58元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有32.6元人民幣的淨現金。
How Strong Is Tasly Pharmaceutical Group's Balance Sheet?
天士力製藥集團的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tasly Pharmaceutical Group had liabilities of CN¥3.30b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.46b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.80b and CN¥2.04b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥3.07b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,天士力製藥集團的負債爲33元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲14.6元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲58元人民幣和價值20.4元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多出30.7元人民幣。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Tasly Pharmaceutical Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Tasly Pharmaceutical Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種短期流動性表明,天士力製藥集團可能會輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未緊張。簡而言之,天士力製藥集團的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。
On the other hand, Tasly Pharmaceutical Group saw its EBIT drop by 8.5% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tasly Pharmaceutical Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
另一方面,天士力製藥集團的息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了8.5%。這種下降如果持續下去,顯然會使債務更難處理。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定天士力製藥集團能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Tasly Pharmaceutical Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Tasly Pharmaceutical Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。天士力製藥集團的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。令所有股東感到高興的是,在過去三年中,天士力製藥集團產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。在保持貸款人的支持方面,沒有什麼比流入的現金更好的了。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Tasly Pharmaceutical Group has CN¥3.26b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 130% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥2.0b. So we don't think Tasly Pharmaceutical Group's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Tasly Pharmaceutical Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,天士力製藥集團的淨現金爲32.6元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的130%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了20元人民幣的收入。因此,我們認爲天士力製藥集團使用債務沒有風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,天士力製藥集團在我們的投資分析中顯示出兩個警告信號,您應該知道...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。