Luyang Energy-Saving Materials (SZSE:002088) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Three Years, but the Stock Rallies 8.4% This Past Week
Luyang Energy-Saving Materials (SZSE:002088) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Three Years, but the Stock Rallies 8.4% This Past Week
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But if you try your hand at stock picking, you risk returning less than the market. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Luyang Energy-Saving Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002088) shareholders, since the share price is down 53% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 24%. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 31% lower in that time. But it's up 8.4% in the last week. The buoyant market could have helped drive the share price pop, since stocks are up 9.6% in the same period.
爲了證明選擇個別股票的努力是值得的,值得努力打敗市場指數基金的回報。但是,如果您嘗試挑選股票,可能會冒着比市場回報更低的風險。不幸的是,長揸魯陽節能材料股份有限公司(SZSE:002088)的股東們遭受了這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了53%,遠遠低於市場下降約24%。而在最近一年內,股價下跌了31%,表現並不好。但在過去一週內上漲了8.4%。繁榮的市場可能推動了股價上漲,因爲在同一時期,股票上漲了9.6%。
While the stock has risen 8.4% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
雖然股價在過去一週上漲了8.4%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
雖然一些人仍然在教授高效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者不總是理性的。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是比較每股收益 (EPS) 與股價。
During the three years that the share price fell, Luyang Energy-Saving Materials' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 3.2% each year. The share price decline of 22% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 11.78.
在股價下跌的三年中,魯陽節能材料的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了3.2%。股價下跌了22%,實際上比EPS下滑更嚴重。因此,EPS下降可能令市場失望,導致投資者不願購買。這種增加的謹慎也體現在較低的市盈率上,目前爲11.78。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面可以看到每股收益隨時間的變化情況(通過點擊圖像來查看確切數值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Luyang Energy-Saving Materials' TSR for the last 3 years was -46%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報率(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。TSR包含任何股權分拆或折價募資的價值,以及基於股息被再投資的假設,因此對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。恰好,魯陽節能過去3年的TSR爲-46%,超過之前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market lost about 10% in the twelve months, Luyang Energy-Saving Materials shareholders did even worse, losing 27% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 11%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Luyang Energy-Saving Materials .
雖然更廣泛的市場在過去12個月損失約10%,但魯陽節能股東表現得更糟,損失了27%(包括股息在內)。然而,這可能只是由更廣泛市場的不安所影響股價。值得關注基本面情況,以防出現好機會。從長期來看,投資者不會太沮喪,因爲他們每年將獲得11%的收益,持續五年。如果基本數據繼續表明長期可持續增長,當前的拋售可能是值得考慮的機會。我發現長期內觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理是非常有趣的。但要真正獲得洞察,我們也需要考慮其他信息。爲此,您應該注意我們發現的魯陽節能存在的1個警示標誌。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。