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Here's Why Chongqing Construction Engineering Group (SHSE:600939) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Here's Why Chongqing Construction Engineering Group (SHSE:600939) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

爲什麼重慶建工(SHSE:600939)受到債務負擔的壓力
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 03:19

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Chongqing Construction Engineering Group Corporation Limited (SHSE:600939) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

David Iben說得很好,'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。'因此,聰明的資金知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險時的一個非常重要因素。我們可以看到,重慶建工集團有限公司(SHSE:600939)的業務中確實使用了債務。但這筆債務是否令股東擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務和其他負債在企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時會變得風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。雖然這不太常見,但我們常常看到負債的公司因爲債權人強迫它們以賤價籌集資本而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可以是企業中重要的工具,特別是資本密集型企業。在考慮企業使用了多少債務時,首要做的是看現金和債務的整體情況。

How Much Debt Does Chongqing Construction Engineering Group Carry?

重慶建工集團負載多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Chongqing Construction Engineering Group had CN¥18.5b of debt, up from CN¥17.8b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥3.78b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥14.7b.

正如您下面所看到的,在2024年6月底,重慶建工集團的債務爲185億人民幣,比一年前的178億人民幣增加。點擊圖片查看更多細節。然而,它也有37.8億人民幣的現金,因此其淨債務爲147億人民幣。

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SHSE:600939 Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024
SHSE:600939股債比歷史數據2024年9月27日

How Healthy Is Chongqing Construction Engineering Group's Balance Sheet?

重慶建工的資產負債表健康程度如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Chongqing Construction Engineering Group had liabilities of CN¥69.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥7.78b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.78b in cash and CN¥53.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥19.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據最近披露的資產負債表,重慶建工短期負債爲692億人民幣,在12個月內到期,長期負債爲77.8億人民幣。相對抵消的是,其手頭有37.8億人民幣現金和534億人民幣應於12個月內到期的應收款項。因此,其負債總額達198億人民幣,超過了其現金和短期應收款項的總和。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥4.64b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Chongqing Construction Engineering Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

這裏的赤字嚴重拖累了464億人民幣的公司本身,就像一個孩子在揹着裝滿教科書、體育用具和小號的巨大揹包掙扎一樣。因此,我們認爲股東們需要密切關注這家公司。歸根結底,如果債權人要求償還,重慶建工可能需要進行一次重大重新資本化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。

Chongqing Construction Engineering Group shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (20.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.75 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Chongqing Construction Engineering Group saw its EBIT tank 43% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Chongqing Construction Engineering Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

重慶建工的股東面臨着高淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率(20.2)的雙重打擊,以及相當薄弱的利息支付能力,因爲EBIt僅爲利息支出的0.75倍。這裏的債務負擔很重。更糟糕的是,重慶建工在過去12個月裏看到其EBIt下滑了43%。如果收入繼續沿着這個軌跡下滑,償還債務將比說服我們在雨中馬拉松更困難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上更多地了解債務。但你不能孤立地看待債務;因爲重慶建工需要收入來償還債務。所以,如果你想更多地了解其收入情況,不妨查看一下其長期收入趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Chongqing Construction Engineering Group reported free cash flow worth 5.3% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最後,業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。因此,我們明顯需要看看EBIt是否導致相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,重慶建工報告的自由現金流佔其EBIt的比例爲5.3%,這實際上相當低。這種蜷縮的現金轉化水平削弱了其管理和償還債務的能力。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, Chongqing Construction Engineering Group's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Chongqing Construction Engineering Group is carrying heavy debt load. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Chongqing Construction Engineering Group you should be aware of.

乍一看,重慶建工的EBIt增長率讓我們對該股持謹慎態度,其總負債水平也不比年度最繁忙的夜晚空蕩蕩的那家餐廳更具吸引力。即使是淨債務與EBITDA之比也缺乏令人信服的信心。考慮到我們上面提到的一切,可以說重慶建工承擔着沉重的債務負擔。如果沒有穿着蜂服採蜜,會冒着被蜇的風險,所以我們可能會遠離這支特定股票。明顯可以看出資產負債表是你分析債務時要關注的重點區域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。舉個例子:我們已經發現重慶建工存在兩個警告信號,你應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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