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SAIC Motor's (SHSE:600104) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 34% Loss

SAIC Motor's (SHSE:600104) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 34% Loss

上汽集團(SHSE:600104)的收益已連續五年下降,導致股東損失34%
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 03:59

It's nice to see the SAIC Motor Corporation Limited (SHSE:600104) share price up 12% in a week. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. After all, the share price is down 44% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

很高興看到上汽集團股份有限公司(SHSE:600104)股價一週上漲了12%。但是如果你看過去五年,回報並不理想。畢竟,在那段時間裏,股價下跌了44%,明顯表現不佳。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

雖然過去一週股東的投資回報率有所緩解,但在過去五年中仍處於虧損狀態,因此讓我們看看這家公司的基本業務是否是導致下跌的原因。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話:「船隻將周遊世界,而『地平派』仍會興旺。市場上的價格和價值仍會存在廣泛的差距……」考慮一家公司在市場上的認知如何變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。

During the five years over which the share price declined, SAIC Motor's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 15% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 11% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve.

在股價下降的五年裏,上汽集團的每股收益(EPS)每年下降15%。EPS下降的速度比11%的年複合股價下跌更糟糕。因此市場可能之前預期會下降,或者市場認爲情況會好轉。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面可以看到每股收益隨時間的變化情況(通過點擊圖像來查看確切數值)。

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SHSE:600104 Earnings Per Share Growth September 27th 2024
SHSE:600104每股收益增長 2024年9月27日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, SAIC Motor's TSR for the last 5 years was -34%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報率(TSR)與股價回報之間的區別。 TSR包括任何剝離或折價的資本募集價值,以及任何分紅,基於分紅被再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR通常比股價回報高得多。事實上,上汽集團過去5年的TSR爲-34%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提升了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Although it hurts that SAIC Motor returned a loss of 8.1% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 10%. Given the total loss of 6% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand SAIC Motor better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - SAIC Motor has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

儘管上汽集團在過去十二個月中錄得8.1%的虧損,但更廣泛的市場實際上表現更糟,錄得10%的虧損。在過去五年中每年總共虧損了6%,看來最近十二個月中的回報已經惡化。雖然一些投資者專門從事購買陷入困境的公司(但價值被低估)的投資,並取得不錯的業績,但不要忘記巴菲特說過的「扭虧很少成功」。長期追蹤股價表現總是很有趣。但要更好地了解上汽集團,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,冒險 - 我們認爲上汽集團有2個警示信號(其中一個有點不愉快)需要您了解。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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