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Berry (NASDAQ:BRY) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Berry (NASDAQ:BRY) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Berry (納斯達克:BRY) 在利用債務時承擔了一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 06:31

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Berry Corporation (NASDAQ:BRY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格背書的外部基金經理李錄(Li Lu)毫不掩飾地說:'最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受到永久性的資本損失。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡關注其債務的使用,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。 我們注意到Berry Corporation(納斯達克:BRY)確實在其資產負債表上有債務。 但這筆債務是否會引起股東的擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來輕鬆履行債務義務時,債務和其他負債將成爲企業的風險。最終,如果公司無法履行法律義務償還債務,則股東可能什麼都拿不到。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以便宜的股價稀釋股東,才能輕鬆控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着便宜的資本,特別是當它取代能夠以高回報率進行再投資的公司發行新股時。考慮公司的債務水平時的第一步是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Berry Carry?

貝里承擔了多少債務?

As you can see below, Berry had US$433.7m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

正如您在下面看到的,貝里在2024年6月擁有4.337 億美元的債務,與前一年大致相同。 您可以單擊圖表以獲得更詳細信息。 另外,它沒有太多現金,所以它的淨債務大致相同。

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NasdaqGS:BRY Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024
納斯達克:BRY債務資產比歷史數據2024年9月27日

How Strong Is Berry's Balance Sheet?

Berry的資產負債表有多健全?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Berry had liabilities of US$204.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$655.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$6.69m and US$82.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$771.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據最近公佈的資產負債表,Berry有125億美元的負債需要在12個月內償還,還有655.4億美元的負債需要在12個月以上償還。 另一方面,它手頭有669萬美元的現金和8200萬美元的應收賬款,需在一年內收回。 因此,其負債總額高達771.2億美元,超過了其現金和近期應收賬款的總和。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$383.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Berry would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

這裏的負債缺口沉重地壓在這家價值383.9億美元的公司身上,就像一個孩子難以承受揹包裏裝滿了書、體育用具和小號這樣沉重的重量一樣。 因此,我們肯定認爲股東們需要密切關注這個問題。 畢竟,如果Berry今天必須償還債務,那麼很可能需要進行重大的資本重組。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。

Even though Berry's debt is only 1.9, its interest cover is really very low at 0.23. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Importantly, Berry's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 97% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Berry can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

儘管Berry的債務僅爲1.9,但其利息保障倍數非常低,僅爲0.23。 在很大程度上是因爲它有如此多的折舊和攤銷。 雖然公司經常吹噓這些費用是非現金費用,但大多數這類企業因此需要持續投資(這些投資不會支出)。 無論哪種方式,毫無疑問,這支股票正在使用有意義的槓桿。 重要的是,Berry的EBIt在過去十二個月中下降了驚人的97%。 如果這種下降繼續,那麼償還債務就會比在純素食者大會上出售法式鵝肝更加困難。 資產負債表顯然是你分析債務時需要關注的領域。 但最終,企業未來的盈利能力將決定Berry能否隨着時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果你專注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Berry actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,在業務中需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不夠用。所以值得檢查那些EBIt有多少是由自由現金流支持的。令股東高興的是,Berry在過去三年實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIt還要多。這種強勁的現金轉化讓我們像Daft Punk演唱會上的觀衆在音樂嘎吱一下時一樣興奮。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, Berry's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Berry to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Berry that you should be aware of before investing here.

表面上看,Berry的EBIt增長速度讓我們對股票感到猶豫,其總負債水平也沒有比一年中最忙碌的夜晚空無一人的餐館更有吸引力。但值得一提的是,其將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力是一個好跡象,讓我們更加樂觀。我們非常清楚地認爲,由於其資產負債表健康狀況,Berry實際上相當具有風險。因此,我們對這支股票的警惕程度幾乎和一個飢餓的小貓對掉進主人的魚塘裏的警惕程度一樣高:一朝被蛇咬,十年怕井繩。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的重點。但並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表內部——遠非如此。例如,我們已經發現了Berry存在2個警告信號,希望您在投資之前注意到這些。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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