When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 33.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Northrop Grumman has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Northrop Grumman.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Northrop Grumman would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 50%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 43% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Northrop Grumman's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Northrop Grumman maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Northrop Grumman has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Northrop Grumman's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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