Those holding Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688017) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 32% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Leader Harmonious Drive Systems as a stock to avoid entirely with its 37.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' Recent Performance Look Like?
Leader Harmonious Drive Systems hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Leader Harmonious Drive Systems.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.5%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 14% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 31% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 23%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' P/S Mean For Investors?
Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look into Leader Harmonious Drive Systems shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Leader Harmonious Drive Systems (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Leader Harmonious Drive Systems, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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