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Is Litian Pictures Holdings (HKG:9958) A Risky Investment?

Is Litian Pictures Holdings (HKG:9958) A Risky Investment?

力天影業控股(HKG:9958)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 18:48

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Litian Pictures Holdings Limited (HKG:9958) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,「波動性與風險迥然不同。」 當我們考慮一家公司的風險程度時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過多可能導致破產。 我們注意到力天影業控股有限公司(HKG:9958)的資產負債表上確實有債務。 但這筆債務會讓股東擔憂嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有當公司不能輕易地通過籌集資本或自有現金流來償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的本質是「創造性破壞」過程,其中失敗的企業被其銀行家無情地清算。但更普遍的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,公司必須以較低的價格籌集新的股本資本,從而永久稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,從而使其受益。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Litian Pictures Holdings's Debt?

力天影業控股的債務是多少?

As you can see below, Litian Pictures Holdings had CN¥153.1m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥205.0m a year prior. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

正如您所看到的,2024年6月,力天影業控股的債務爲15310萬人民幣,比一年前的20500萬人民幣有所減少。而且它現金不多,淨債務大致相同。

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SEHK:9958 Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024
SEHK:9958債務與股本比歷史數據2024年9月27日

A Look At Litian Pictures Holdings' Liabilities

查看力天影業控股的負債情況

The latest balance sheet data shows that Litian Pictures Holdings had liabilities of CN¥684.0m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.74m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.44m and CN¥104.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥578.6m.

最新資產負債表數據顯示,力天影業控股一年內到期的負債爲68400萬人民幣,之後到期的負債爲174萬人民幣。另一方面,其現金爲244萬人民幣,一年內到期的應收賬款價值10470萬人民幣。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款總和57860萬人民幣。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥78.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Litian Pictures Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Litian Pictures Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這種赤字如同龐然大物般籠罩在7850萬人民幣公司之上。因此,我們認爲股東需要密切關注這一點。畢竟,如果力天影業控股今天必須償付債權人,很可能需要進行重大的再資本化。資產負債表顯然是進行債務分析時要重點關注的地方。但是,不能孤立地看待債務;因爲力天影業控股需要盈利來償還這筆債務。因此,如果您渴望了解更多關於其盈利的信息,不妨查看其長期盈利趨勢的圖表。

Over 12 months, Litian Pictures Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥46m, which is a fall of 44%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在12個月內,力天影業控股在EBIt水平上出現虧損,並且其營業收入下降至4600萬人民幣,下降了44%。這令我們感到非常緊張。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

While Litian Pictures Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥129m. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥159m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Litian Pictures Holdings (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant) .

儘管力天影業控股收入下降令人心情沉重,可謂大雨滂沱,但其利息(EBIT)虧損更加令人不滿。其EBIt虧損高達12900萬人民幣。當你將此與上述非常重要的資產負債表負債相結合時,我們對其非常警惕,以至於我們基本上找不到合適的詞語。與其他冒險一樣,我們確信它有一份解釋其藍天潛力的華麗陳述文稿。但現實情況是,相對於負債,其流動資產不足,並且去年虧損15900萬人民幣。因此,我們認爲購買這支股票存在風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最多了解債務。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的力天影業控股的3個警示標誌(其中有2個有點令人不快)。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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