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Ecovyst (NYSE:ECVT) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Rises 6.6% This Past Week

Ecovyst (NYSE:ECVT) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Rises 6.6% This Past Week

Ecovyst(紐交所: ECVT)過去五年的收益和股東回報一直呈下降趨勢,但股價在上週上漲了6.6%
Simply Wall St ·  09/28 08:57

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Ecovyst Inc. (NYSE:ECVT) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 55% over a half decade. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 30% over the last twelve months. Furthermore, it's down 23% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是主要的遊戲是找到足夠的贏家來抵消輸家。因此,我們不會責怪Ecovyst Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:ECVT)的長期股東懷疑他們的持股決定,該股在五年內下跌了55%。而且我們懷疑長期信徒是唯一擔心的持有者,因爲股價在過去十二個月中下跌了30%。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了23%。對於持有者來說,這並不好玩。

On a more encouraging note the company has added US$50m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,該公司的市值在過去的7天內就增加了5000萬美元,因此,讓我們看看我們能否確定是什麼推動了股東五年的虧損。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Ecovyst's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 3.3% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 15% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.

在股價下跌的五年中,Ecovyst的每股收益(EPS)每年下降3.3%。每股收益的下降幅度低於股價每年下降的15%。這意味着市場此前對該股過於樂觀。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到 EPS 隨時間推移的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

big
NYSE:ECVT Earnings Per Share Growth September 28th 2024
紐約證券交易所:ECVT每股收益增長 2024年9月28日

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Ecovyst's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

很高興看到在過去三個月中出現了一些大規模的內幕買盤。這是積極的。話雖如此,我們認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更重要的考慮因素。查看這張Ecovyst收益、收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解收益。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那麼股東總回報(TSR)呢?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Ecovyst's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. We note that Ecovyst's TSR, at -37% is higher than its share price return of -55%. When you consider it hasn't been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.

投資者應注意,Ecovyst的股東總回報率(TSR)與其股價變化之間存在差異,我們在上面已經介紹了這一點。可以說,股東總回報率是一種更完整的回報計算方法,因爲它考慮了股息的價值(就好像是再投資一樣),以及向股東提供的任何貼現資本的假設價值。我們注意到,Ecovyst的股東總回報率爲-37%,高於其-55%的股價回報率。當你考慮到它沒有派發股息時,這些數據表明股東已經從分拆中受益,或者有機會通過折扣融資收購定價誘人的股票。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Investors in Ecovyst had a tough year, with a total loss of 30%, against a market gain of about 35%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 7% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Ecovyst better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Ecovyst is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Ecovyst的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總虧損了30%,而市場漲幅約爲35%。但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現不如市場。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中7%的年化虧損還要糟糕。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 「在街頭流血時買入」,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解Ecovyst,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。即便如此,請注意,Ecovyst在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.

還有許多其他公司有內部人士購買股票。你可能不想錯過這份內部人士正在收購的被低估的小盤股公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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