Light & Wonder, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LNW) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.5x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Light & Wonder's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Light & Wonder could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Light & Wonder?
Light & Wonder's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 58% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 5.7% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Light & Wonder is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Light & Wonder's P/S?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've concluded that Light & Wonder currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Light & Wonder you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Light & Wonder, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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