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When Should You Buy Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX:C6L)?

When Should You Buy Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX:C6L)?

何時應該買入新加坡航空公司有限公司(新加坡交易所:C6L)?
Simply Wall St ·  09/29 21:29

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX:C6L). The company's stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SGX. Shareholders may appreciate the recent price jump, but the company still has a way to go before reaching its yearly highs again. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let's examine Singapore Airlines's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.

今天我們將來看看成熟的新加坡航空有限公司(SGX: C6L)。在過去的幾個月中,該公司的股票在新加坡交易所的股價上漲了兩位數,漲幅超過10%。股東們可能會欣賞最近的價格上漲,但該公司在再次達到年度高點之前還有很長的路要走。作爲一隻分析師高度報道的大盤股,你可以假設該公司前景的任何最近變化都已經計入該股。但是,該股票還能以相對便宜的價格交易嗎?讓我們更詳細地研究一下新加坡航空的估值和前景,以確定是否還有討價還價的機會。

Is Singapore Airlines Still Cheap?

新加坡航空還便宜嗎?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. We find that Singapore Airlines's ratio of 8.86x is trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 10.1x, which means if you buy Singapore Airlines today, you'd be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe Singapore Airlines should be trading in this range, then there isn't much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Furthermore, Singapore Airlines's share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This may mean it is less likely for the stock to fall lower from natural market volatility, which suggests less opportunities to buy moving forward.

根據我們的多重定價模型,我們將公司的市盈率與行業平均水平進行比較,目前的股價似乎是明智的。在這種情況下,鑑於沒有足夠的信息來可靠地預測股票的現金流,我們使用了市盈率(PE)。我們發現,新加坡航空8.86倍的交易比率略低於其行業同行10.1倍的比率,這意味着如果你今天收購新加坡航空,你將爲此付出可觀的代價。而且,如果你認爲新加坡航空應該在這個區間內交易,那麼從長遠來看,股價的增長空間不大超過其他行業同行的水平。此外,新加坡航空的股價與其他市場相比似乎也相對穩定,其低貝塔值就表明了這一點。這可能意味着該股不太可能因市場自然波動而下跌,這表明未來買入的機會減少。

Can we expect growth from Singapore Airlines?

我們能指望新加坡航空的增長嗎?

big
SGX:C6L Earnings and Revenue Growth September 30th 2024
新加坡證券交易所:C6L 收益和收入增長 2024 年 9 月 30 日

Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Singapore Airlines, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

當你考慮買入股票時,未來前景是一個重要的方面,特別是如果你是尋求投資組合增長的投資者。以低廉的價格收購一家前景看好的優秀公司永遠是一項不錯的投資,因此,讓我們也來看看公司的未來預期。但是,就新加坡航空而言,預計其未來幾年將實現高度負的收益增長,這無助於其建立投資理念。看來未來不確定性的風險很高,至少在短期內是如此。

What This Means For You

這對你意味着什麼

Are you a shareholder? Currently, C6L appears to be trading around industry price multiples, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on C6L, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

你是股東嗎?目前,C6L似乎圍繞行業價格倍數進行交易,但鑑於未來負回報帶來的不確定性,這可能是降低投資組合風險的合適時機。您目前的股票敞口對您的整體投資組合有益嗎?持有負面展望股票的機會成本是否過高?在你對C6L做出決定之前,先看看它的基本面是否發生了變化。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on C6L for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystallize your views on C6L should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.

你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果您關注C6L已有一段時間,那麼鑑於C6L的交易價格約爲行業倍數,現在可能不是最佳的購買時機。這意味着錯誤定價帶來的好處較少。此外,負增長前景增加了持有股票的風險。但是,我們今天還沒有考慮其他重要因素,如果價格波動低於行業市盈率,這些因素可以幫助您明確對C6L的看法。

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Singapore Airlines (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。每家公司都有風險,我們發現了新加坡航空的兩個警告信號(其中一個有點令人擔憂!)你應該知道。

If you are no longer interested in Singapore Airlines, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您不再對新加坡航空感興趣,可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們列出的其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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