InventisBio (SHSE:688382) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business
InventisBio (SHSE:688382) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
毫無疑問,持有虧損企業的股份是可以賺錢的。例如,生物科技和採礦勘探公司往往在尋找新的治療方法或礦物發現之前多年虧損。儘管如此,在虧損的企業過快地消耗現金的風險下,任何理智的人都不會忽視。
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether InventisBio (SHSE:688382) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
考慮到這種風險,我們認爲有必要仔細研究一下InventisBio(SHSE:688382)的股東是否應該擔心其現金消耗問題。對於本文而言,現金消耗是虧損公司用於資助其增長的年度速度;即負自由現金流。我們將首先比較其現金消耗與現金儲備,以便計算其現金儲備時間。
How Long Is InventisBio's Cash Runway?
InventisBio的現金儲備時間有多長?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at June 2024, InventisBio had cash of CN¥1.7b and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥298m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 5.8 years as of June 2024. Notably, however, the one analyst we see covering the stock thinks that InventisBio will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. If that happens, then the length of its cash runway, today, would become a moot point. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
現金儲備時間被定義爲公司在當前現金消耗速度下耗盡資金所需的時間長度。 截至2024年6月,InventisBio的現金爲人民幣17億,沒有債務。重要的是,其在過去十二個月的現金消耗爲人民幣29800萬。這意味着截至2024年6月,其現金儲備時間約爲5.8年。值得注意的是,我們看到有一名分析師覆蓋該股認爲InventisBio在那之前將實現盈虧持平(在自由現金流水平)。如果發生這種情況,那麼其現金儲備時間,今天,將變得無關緊要。下面的圖顯示了其現金餘額在過去幾年中的變化。
How Well Is InventisBio Growing?
InventisBio的增長情況如何?
We reckon the fact that InventisBio managed to shrink its cash burn by 40% over the last year is rather encouraging. Having said that, the revenue growth of 51% was considerably more inspiring. We think it is growing rather well, upon reflection. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
我們認爲InventisBio在過去一年成功將現金消耗減少了40%,這令人鼓舞。儘管如此,其營業收入增長了51%,這更加令人鼓舞。我們認爲它的發展相當不錯,深思熟慮後。然而,顯然,關鍵因素是公司未來是否將拓展業務。因此,您可能想要看一看未來幾年公司預計增長多少。
How Hard Would It Be For InventisBio To Raise More Cash For Growth?
InventisBio要籌集更多資金來實現增長會有多難?
We are certainly impressed with the progress InventisBio has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
我們對InventisBio過去一年取得的進展印象深刻,但如果想要籌集更多資金來加快增長,成本將會是一個需要考慮的問題。發行新股份或者負債是上市公司籌集更多資金的常見方式。許多公司最終選擇發行新股份來爲未來增長提供資金。通過比較公司年度現金消耗量與其總市值的關係,我們可以粗略估計公司需要發行多少股份才能維持公司經營一年(以相同消耗速率)。
InventisBio's cash burn of CN¥298m is about 6.1% of its CN¥4.9b market capitalisation. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
InventisBio的現金消耗量爲CN¥29800萬,約爲其CN¥49億市值的6.1%。這個比例較低,因此我們認爲公司有能力籌集更多資金用於增長,即使會有一些稀釋,或者簡單地借一些錢。
So, Should We Worry About InventisBio's Cash Burn?
那麼,我們應該擔心InventisBio的現金消耗嗎?
As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about InventisBio's cash burn. In particular, we think its revenue growth stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. And even though its cash burn reduction wasn't quite as impressive, it was still a positive. Shareholders can take heart from the fact that at least one analyst is forecasting it will reach breakeven. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 1 warning sign for InventisBio that you should be aware of before investing.
從目前情況來看,我們對InventisBio的現金消耗並不太擔憂。特別是,我們認爲其營業收入增長是公司控制開支的明顯證據。即使其現金消耗減少並不十分顯著,仍屬正面。股東可以放心,至少有一位分析師預測公司將實現盈虧平衡。綜合考慮本報告中的各種因素,我們對其現金消耗並不擔憂,因爲該業務似乎資本充足以根據需要支出。深入研究風險後,我們已經確定了1個InventisBio的警示信號,您在投資前應該注意。
Of course InventisBio may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
當然,InventisBio可能不是最佳買入股票。因此,您可能希望查看這些具有高淨資產收益率的公司免費合集,或者這些擁有高內部持股的股票清單。
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