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Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) Shareholders Have Earned a 14% CAGR Over the Last Five Years

Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) Shareholders Have Earned a 14% CAGR Over the Last Five Years

在過去五年中,自動數據處理(納斯達克:ADP)的股東賺取了14%的年複合增長率。
Simply Wall St ·  12:43

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADP) share price is up 72% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 14%.

長期投資的要點是賺錢。更好的是,你希望看到股價的上漲幅度超過市場平均水平。對於股東來說,不幸的是,儘管自動數據處理公司(納斯達克股票代碼:ADP)的股價在過去五年中上漲了72%,但仍低於市場回報率。僅從去年來看,該股就上漲了14%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在也值得一看公司的基本面,因爲這將有助於我們確定長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

禾倫·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股價如何並不總是能合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法如何變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價變動進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Automatic Data Processing achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 12% per year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 11%. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

在五年的股價增長中,自動數據處理實現了每年12%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。這使得每股收益的增長特別接近11%的年度股價增長。這表明投資者對公司的情緒沒有太大變化。相反,股價大致追蹤了每股收益的增長。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到 EPS 隨時間推移的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

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NasdaqGS:ADP Earnings Per Share Growth September 30th 2024
納斯達克GS:ADP 每股收益增長 2024 年 9 月 30 日

We know that Automatic Data Processing has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

我們知道自動數據處理最近提高了利潤,但它會增加收入嗎?如果你感興趣,可以查看這份顯示共識收入預測的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Automatic Data Processing, it has a TSR of 91% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報率之間的差異。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就自動數據處理而言,在過去5年的股東總回報率爲91%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Automatic Data Processing shareholders are up 17% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 14% over half a decade This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. Before spending more time on Automatic Data Processing it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

自動數據處理股東今年上漲了17%(甚至包括股息)。但是這種回報不及市場。好的一面是,這仍然是一個收益,實際上比五年來14%的平均回報率要好。這可能表明該公司在推行其戰略的過程中正在贏得新投資者的青睞。在花更多時間進行自動數據處理之前,明智的做法可能是單擊此處查看內部人士是否在買入或賣出股票。

Of course Automatic Data Processing may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,自動數據處理可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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