Panda Dairy Corporation (SZSE:300898) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in the last month. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.3% over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 30x, you may still consider Panda Dairy as an attractive investment with its 24.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Panda Dairy has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Panda Dairy.
Is There Any Growth For Panda Dairy?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Panda Dairy's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 42% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 6.0% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.8% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Panda Dairy's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Panda Dairy's P/E?
Despite Panda Dairy's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Panda Dairy's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Panda Dairy you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Panda Dairy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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