JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300631) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 20% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech as a stock to avoid entirely with its 55.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Enough Growth For JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 9.5% last year. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 41% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 54% per year as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's P/E?
The strong share price surge has got JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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